Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 100.08 | $0.240 | $24.02 | May 4, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 782.04 |
| $0.006 |
| $4.69 |
| Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 450.61 | $0.197 | $88.77 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 140.9 | $0.630 | $88.77 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 331.42 | $0.119 | $39.52 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | sell | 1.27K | $0.031 | $39.52 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 1.27K | $0.064 | $81.59 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | sell | 1.26K | $0.064 | $80.47 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 117 | $0.779 | $91.14 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 140.89 | $0.650 | $91.58 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.130 | $7.15 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 110.5 | $0.980 | $108.29 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 35.24 | $0.660 | $23.26 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 108.69 | $0.260 | $28.26 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 45.14 | $0.660 | $29.79 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 119.7 | $0.660 | $79 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 16.35 | $0.660 | $10.79 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 10.84 | $0.995 | $10.79 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 32.47 | $0.770 | $25 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes | sell | 55.56 | $0.450 | $25 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 65.37 | $0.670 | $43.8 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Objective" or "Goal" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 27.01 | $0.741 | $20 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 22.42 | $0.892 | $20 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes | buy | 12.38 | $0.320 | $3.96 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Starmer say "Public Health" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes | buy | 9.86 | $0.304 | $3 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Starmer say "Europe" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 19.49 | $0.870 | $16.96 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 100.08 | $0.250 | $25.02 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.230 | $25 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 72.49 | $0.690 | $50.02 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 42.37 | $0.820 | $34.74 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 62.14 | $0.720 | $44.74 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.49 | $0.750 | $10.12 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 40.48 | $0.250 | $10.12 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 48.66 | $0.640 | $31.14 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No | sell | 32.11 | $0.970 | $31.14 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ETUp | buy | 11.65 | $0.320 | $3.73 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ETUp | sell | 3.29 | $0.420 | $1.38 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ETUp | buy | 3.26 | $0.300 | $0.98 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 49.41 | $0.070 | $3.46 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No | buy | 32.12 | $0.969 | $31.12 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 34.64 | $0.870 | $30.14 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETUp | buy | 24.89 | $0.030 | $0.75 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETUp | buy | 19.98 | $0.050 | $1 | Mar 28, 2026 |