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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 3K | $0.837 | $2.57K | +$55 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by October 31?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.997 | $299.1 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.1K |
| $0.823 |
| $2.02K |
| +$291.06 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.72K | $0.886 | $1.66K | +$140.73 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 1.4K | $0.936 | $1.39K | +$80.16 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.806 | $993 | +$187 |
| NATO article 5 before 2027? | No | 999.62 | $0.907 | $944.14 | +$37.42 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 999.99 | $0.550 | $904.99 | +$355 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.708 | $875 | +$167 |
 Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? | No | 810.06 | $0.865 | $789.8 | +$89.3 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 685.16 | $0.860 | $640.62 | +$51.69 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 700 | $0.831 | $612.5 | +$30.5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 600 | $0.888 | $561 | +$28 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 600.39 | $0.890 | $546.35 | +$11.87 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 499.99 | $0.810 | $491.24 | +$86.25 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.978 | $484.25 | -$4.75 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | No | 500 | $0.920 | $475 | +$15 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.950 | $472.5 | -$2.5 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | No | 500 | $0.893 | $460 | +$13.4 |
 European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? | No | 500 | $0.892 | $452.5 | +$6.5 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | No | 433.02 | $0.796 | $413.53 | +$68.8 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.866 | $407.5 | -$25.41 |
 Iran nuclear test before 2027? | No | 400 | $0.940 | $383.4 | +$7.4 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 400 | $0.820 | $378 | +$50 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 400 | $0.845 | $358 | +$20 |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30? | No | 302.63 | $0.906 | $297.18 | +$22.9 |
| buy |
| 72 |
| $0.928 |
| $66.84 |
| 1d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1K | $0.850 | $850 | 8d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.978 | $489 | 8d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.950 | $475 | 8d ago |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | buy | 45 | $0.930 | $41.85 | 8d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.366 | $73.2 | 8d ago |
| European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.890 | $267 | 8d ago |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No | sell | 298.82 | $0.749 | $223.7 | 12d ago |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No | sell | 6 | $0.780 | $4.68 | 13d ago |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No | sell | 1.01K | $0.770 | $779.48 | 13d ago |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No | sell | 344.04 | $0.831 | $285.81 | 13d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 300 | $0.996 | $298.8 | 14d ago |
 Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 316.35 | $0.994 | $314.41 | 14d ago |
| Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 88.77 | $0.995 | $88.33 | 14d ago |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | 16d ago |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?No | buy | 500 | $0.920 | $460 | 18d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 500 | $0.996 | $498 | 18d ago |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 200 | $0.850 | $170 | 18d ago |
| Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 193.4 | $0.840 | $162.46 | 18d ago |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.950 | $95 | 18d ago |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.830 | $166 | 18d ago |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | 18d ago |
| Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 252.5 | $0.989 | $249.72 | 19d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1K | $0.830 | $830 | 19d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1K | $0.830 | $830 | 19d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.870 | $347.91 | 19d ago |
| Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 152.62 | $0.988 | $150.79 | 19d ago |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.54 | $0.995 | $10.49 | 19d ago |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.930 | $46.5 | 19d ago |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?No | buy | 300 | $0.920 | $276 | 19d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.930 | $186 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.230 | $23 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 99.99 | $0.337 | $33.67 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.580 | $232 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.890 | $445 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?No | sell | 1.75K | $0.996 | $1.75K | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.820 | $410 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 499.99 | $0.810 | $404.99 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.950 | $475 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 70.05 | $0.730 | $51.14 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30?Yes | buy | 372 | $0.987 | $367.07 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.740 | $1.11K | Aug 5, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 150 | $0.856 | $128.44 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 300 | $0.947 | $284.21 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.989 | $494.5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?No | buy | 100.4 | $0.900 | $90.36 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 300 | $0.930 | $279 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.880 | $176 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.880 | $264 | Jul 27, 2026 |