Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by December 31?Yes | buy | 9.07 | $0.981 | $8.9 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 38.27 |
| $0.810 |
| $31 |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?Yes | buy | 40.63 | $0.800 | $32.5 | Feb 6, 2025 |
 Doug Collins confirmed as Secretary of Veterans Affairs?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Jan 25, 2025 |
 Will the Chicago Bulls win the Eastern Conference?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.004 | $0.08 | Dec 14, 2024 |
| Will the Chicago Bulls win the Eastern Conference?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.005 | $0.1 | Dec 14, 2024 |
 Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration?No | buy | 32.11 | $0.965 | $31 | Dec 14, 2024 |
 Will the Republican candidate win Nevada by 2.0%-3.0%?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.016 | $0.94 | Nov 19, 2024 |
| Will the Republican candidate win Nevada by 2.0%-3.0%?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Nov 19, 2024 |
 Will someone else be inaugurated?No | sell | 165 | $0.972 | $160.38 | Nov 19, 2024 |
| Will someone else be inaugurated?No | buy | 165.01 | $0.973 | $160.55 | Nov 19, 2024 |
 Will another driver win the 2024 F1 season?No | sell | 1.1 | $0.997 | $1.1 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will another driver win the 2024 F1 season?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.998 | $1.1 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.003 | $0.23 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.004 | $0.3 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?No | sell | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | sell | 457.06 | $0.996 | $455.23 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | buy | 457.06 | $0.997 | $455.69 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the World Series?No | sell | 456.61 | $0.998 | $455.7 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the World Series?No | buy | 456.62 | $0.999 | $456.16 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: OtherNo | sell | 518.89 | $0.993 | $515.26 | Aug 9, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: OtherNo | buy | 518.89 | $0.994 | $515.78 | Aug 9, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154No | sell | 535.6 | $0.963 | $515.78 | Aug 9, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154No | buy | 535.6 | $0.964 | $516.32 | Aug 9, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?Yes | sell | 53 | $0.018 | $0.95 | Jul 21, 2024 |
 Will Florida be the tipping point state?Yes | sell | 380 | $0.031 | $11.78 | Jul 21, 2024 |
| Will Florida be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 380 | $0.032 | $12.16 | Jul 21, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.020 | $1.06 | Jul 21, 2024 |
 Japan wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.003 | $0.6 | Jul 21, 2024 |
| Japan wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.004 | $0.8 | Jul 21, 2024 |
 Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | sell | 135 | $0.005 | $0.68 | Jul 21, 2024 |
| Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | buy | 135 | $0.006 | $0.81 | Jul 21, 2024 |
 Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | sell | 357 | $0.006 | $2.14 | Jul 21, 2024 |
| Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | buy | 357 | $0.007 | $2.5 | Jul 21, 2024 |
 Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?No | sell | 210 | $0.991 | $208.11 | Jul 21, 2024 |
| Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?No | buy | 210 | $0.992 | $208.32 | Jul 21, 2024 |
 Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.015 | $3 | Jul 21, 2024 |
| Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.016 | $3.2 | Jul 21, 2024 |
 Will Biden drop out on July 20?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Jul 21, 2024 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 24 | $0.989 | $23.74 | Jul 21, 2024 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 24 | $0.990 | $23.76 | Jul 21, 2024 |
 Will Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | sell | 3.58K | $0.001 | $3.58 | Jul 21, 2024 |
| Will Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 3.58K | $0.002 | $7.16 | Jul 21, 2024 |
 Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | sell | 6.5 | $0.680 | $4.42 | Jul 21, 2024 |
| Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | buy | 10 | $0.690 | $6.9 | Jul 21, 2024 |