Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 12 | $0.967 | $11.6 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 24 |
| $0.967 |
| $23.21 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 26 | $0.850 | $22.1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 49 | $0.440 | $21.56 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 49 | $0.510 | $24.99 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes | buy | 145 | $0.190 | $27.55 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No | sell | 14 | $0.973 | $13.62 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No | buy | 14 | $0.955 | $13.37 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 123 | $0.330 | $40.59 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.260 | $5.46 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | sell | 15 | $0.840 | $12.6 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 18 | $0.840 | $15.12 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 45 | $0.893 | $40.19 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.892 | $7.14 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | sell | 39 | $0.180 | $7.02 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.180 | $7.02 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.090 | $5.85 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 34 | $0.943 | $32.06 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 73 | $0.080 | $5.84 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.018 | $1.51 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.830 | $37.35 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.200 | $3 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | sell | 136 | $0.034 | $4.62 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 136 | $0.035 | $4.76 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.740 | $37 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.017 | $0.78 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 61 | $0.670 | $40.87 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 61 | $0.670 | $40.87 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 42 | $0.974 | $40.91 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 42 | $0.972 | $40.82 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 91 | $0.310 | $28.21 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 51 | $0.810 | $41.31 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 51 | $0.809 | $41.26 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 42 | $0.975 | $40.95 | May 31, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.961 | $36.52 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.042 | $1.55 | May 29, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.440 | $6.6 | May 28, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 44 | $0.920 | $40.48 | May 28, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.962 | $39.44 | May 25, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.049 | $3.92 | May 25, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.749 | $29.96 | May 23, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | sell | 35 | $0.953 | $33.36 | May 23, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 35 | $0.961 | $33.64 | May 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 35 | $0.952 | $33.32 | May 21, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 60 | $0.510 | $30.6 | May 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 45 | $0.640 | $28.8 | May 20, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 34 | $0.938 | $31.89 | May 20, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 34 | $0.938 | $31.89 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.015 | $0.65 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 30 | $0.974 | $29.22 | May 18, 2026 |