Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? | No | 6.44 | $0.932 | $6.19 | +$0.19 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 5.35 |
| $0.935 |
| $5 |
| May 18, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?No | buy | 9.3 | $0.968 | $9 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No | buy | 4.6 | $0.870 | $4 | May 18, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 7.95 | $0.880 | $7 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Rizo Velovic win Survivor Season 50?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,800 April 27-May 3?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 30?No | buy | 17.35 | $0.980 | $17 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?No | buy | 12.26 | $0.979 | $12 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 35.68 | $0.997 | $35.57 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 GTA VI released before June 2026?No | buy | 5.16 | $0.969 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.19 | $0.958 | $8.8 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.993 | $8 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?No | buy | 19.79 | $0.960 | $19 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 6.44 | $0.932 | $6 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?No | buy | 16.72 | $0.957 | $16 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Another US bank failure by February 28?No | buy | 11.83 | $0.930 | $11 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 51.71 | $0.998 | $51.61 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Cloudflare outage caused by state actor?No | buy | 25.05 | $0.998 | $25 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Stepanivka by October 31?No | buy | 23.35 | $0.977 | $22.81 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by October 31?No | buy | 53.27 | $0.995 | $53 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.988 | $26 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Lara Trump announce NC senate run before Oct?No | buy | 123.18 | $0.999 | $123.06 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will Adelita Grijalva win AZ-07 by less than 30%?No | buy | 104.32 | $0.997 | $104 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will Lazarus Chakwera win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?No | buy | 102.31 | $0.997 | $102 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by August 31?No | buy | 6.32 | $0.950 | $6 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.220 | $6.6 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be 43.5–43.9% on August 15?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.400 | $12 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be <43.5% on August 15?Yes | sell | 1.2 | $0.180 | $0.22 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?No | sell | 40 | $0.740 | $29.6 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Apple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?No | buy | 7.12 | $0.983 | $7 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in 2025?No | buy | 9.54 | $0.839 | $8 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JulyYes | buy | 8.7 | $0.920 | $8 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Odell Beckham Jr. in jail in 2025?No | buy | 7.58 | $0.923 | $7 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will a hurricane make landfall in the US before August?No | buy | 9.38 | $0.959 | $9 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before July?No | buy | 100.55 | $0.995 | $100 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 65°F or higher on May 7?No | buy | 1.19K | $0.998 | $1.18K | May 7, 2025 |
 Will the Miami Heat win the Eastern Conference?No | sell | 12.42K | $0.998 | $12.4K | Apr 6, 2025 |
 Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | sell | 8.77K | $0.998 | $8.75K | Apr 6, 2025 |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | buy | 8.77K | $0.999 | $8.76K | Apr 6, 2025 |
| Will the Miami Heat win the Eastern Conference?No | buy | 12.42K | $0.999 | $12.41K | Apr 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during tariff event on April 2?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.840 | $4 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk attend the Oscars?No | buy | 6.07 | $0.988 | $6 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Will Palisades wildfire spread to Beverly Hills by Sunday?No | buy | 31.09 | $0.997 | $31 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will Romuald Starosielec be the next President of Poland?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.998 | $2.52 | Dec 2, 2024 |
 Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | sell | 3.01 | $0.993 | $2.99 | Dec 2, 2024 |
 Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?No | sell | 3.05 | $0.986 | $3.01 | Dec 2, 2024 |
 Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?No | sell | 4.32 | $0.976 | $4.22 | Dec 2, 2024 |
 Will Argentina dollarize in 2024?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.989 | $1.5 | Nov 26, 2024 |