Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential election? | Yes | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | 6d ago |
|
| No |
| 1.02 |
| $0.979 |
| $1 |
| +$0 |
| buy |
| 1.59 |
| $0.630 |
| $1 |
| Aug 12, 2026 |
 Will Cigna Group (CI) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Austin be 82°F or higher on May 14?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.949 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.878 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.960 | $1.14 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration?Yes | buy | 0.14 | $0.210 | $0.03 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Mystery drones shot down by Friday?Yes | buy | 0.4 | $0.050 | $0.02 | Dec 15, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?No | buy | 0.07 | $0.140 | $0.01 | Nov 27, 2024 |
 Another Trump Cabinet nominee withdrawn before inauguration?No | buy | 0.04 | $0.460 | $0.02 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Diddy released from custody before December?Yes | buy | 0.57 | $0.140 | $0.08 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Shōgun wins Best Drama Series? - EmmysYes | buy | 0.03 | $0.900 | $0.03 | Sep 15, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $60,000 on September 6?Yes | buy | 0.42 | $0.360 | $0.15 | Sep 3, 2024 |
 Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?No | buy | 0.1 | $0.993 | $0.1 | Aug 18, 2024 |
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC WestNo | buy | 0.08 | $0.900 | $0.07 | Aug 12, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 147.49 | $0.986 | $145.43 | Aug 4, 2024 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 147.5 | $0.987 | $145.58 | Aug 4, 2024 |
 Another country wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?No | sell | 145.87 | $0.998 | $145.58 | Aug 4, 2024 |
| Another country wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?No | buy | 145.88 | $0.999 | $145.73 | Aug 4, 2024 |
 Will one SpaceX Starship launch successfully reach outer space in 2024?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Aug 4, 2024 |
 Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.980 | $1.1 | Aug 4, 2024 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?No | sell | 151.31 | $0.977 | $147.83 | Aug 4, 2024 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?No | buy | 151.32 | $0.978 | $147.99 | Aug 4, 2024 |
 Damson Idris announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 149.58 | $0.989 | $147.99 | Aug 4, 2024 |
| Damson Idris announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 149.6 | $0.992 | $148.38 | Aug 4, 2024 |