Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 14.78 | $0.670 | $13.82 | +$3.92 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?No | buy | 6.81 | $0.270 | $1.84 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 11.93 |
| $0.830 |
| $11.57 |
| +$1.66 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 11.79 | $0.840 | $11.14 | +$1.24 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 21 | $0.470 | $10.4 | +$0.53 |
 Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? | No | 13.21 | $0.610 | $10.37 | +$2.31 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 17.85 | $0.450 | $9.01 | +$0.98 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | No | 9.11 | $0.800 | $7.43 | +$0.14 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 16 | $0.460 | $7.12 | -$0.24 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 15 | $0.480 | $6.83 | -$0.38 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 8.5 | $0.460 | $3.87 | -$0.04 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 12.16 | $0.270 | $3.59 | +$0.3 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 7.5 | $0.220 | $2.14 | +$0.49 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 2.79 | $0.710 | $1.99 | +$0.01 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 17.69 | $0.560 | $1.59 | -$8.31 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 3 | $0.410 | $1.04 | -$0.19 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.200 | $0.91 | -$0.34 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | Yes | 6.32 | $0.210 | $0.41 | -$0.92 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6 | $0.220 | $0.39 | -$0.93 |
| buy |
| 12.73 |
| $0.216 |
| $2.75 |
| Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?No | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Yes | buy | 7.3 | $0.690 | $5.04 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 6.1 | $0.210 | $1.28 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?Yes | buy | 8.14 | $0.560 | $4.56 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.290 | $2.03 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.470 | $4.23 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 7?Up | buy | 7.5 | $0.340 | $2.55 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.67 | $0.229 | $10 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of July 6 2026?No | buy | 12.19 | $0.620 | $7.56 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?No | buy | 6.59 | $0.730 | $4.81 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.5 | $0.340 | $2.89 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.330 | $3.3 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 8.5 | $0.460 | $3.91 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 3 | $0.410 | $1.23 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Shivon Zilis be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?Yes | buy | 14.25 | $0.320 | $4.56 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.200 | $1.25 | May 31, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes | buy | 2.98 | $0.410 | $1.22 | May 30, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.310 | $2.17 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?No | buy | 12.81 | $0.790 | $10.12 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 13.22 | $0.600 | $7.93 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | buy | 7.75 | $0.240 | $1.86 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?No | buy | 9.11 | $0.800 | $7.29 | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 13 | $0.420 | $5.46 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 21 | $0.470 | $9.87 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.65 | $0.750 | $8.74 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.3B?Yes | buy | 8.11 | $0.720 | $5.84 | May 21, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.360 | $3.24 | May 20, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Yes | buy | 8.15 | $0.400 | $3.26 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.800 | $4.86 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?No | buy | 8 | $0.210 | $1.68 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.410 | $3.28 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.480 | $7.2 | May 16, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.300 | $4.2 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.220 | $1.65 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will White House post 200+ posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.360 | $3.24 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?No | buy | 13.21 | $0.610 | $8.06 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.50 Week of May 11 2026?No | buy | 10.13 | $0.800 | $8.1 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.410 | $6.15 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | buy | 16 | $0.460 | $7.36 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $112 Week of May 11 2026?No | buy | 17.8 | $0.450 | $8.01 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | buy | 10 | $0.410 | $4.1 | May 11, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 13.03 | $0.760 | $9.9 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 12.16 | $0.270 | $3.28 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 15.62 | $0.150 | $2.34 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Laure Lavalette be the next mayor of Toulon?Yes | buy | 11.29 | $0.390 | $4.4 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 17.85 | $0.450 | $8.03 | Mar 16, 2026 |