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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 183.53 | $0.860 | $162.42 | +$4.59 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 24.04 | $0.818 | $19.66 | 28d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 82.05 |
| $0.850 |
| $71.79 |
| +$2.05 |
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 69.94 | $0.580 | $42.31 | +$1.75 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 37.29 | $0.410 | $18.83 | +$3.54 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 52.45 | $0.360 | $18.62 | -$0.26 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 10.68 | $0.746 | $8.53 | +$0.56 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 6.87 | $0.766 | $6.38 | +$1.12 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 89.51 | $0.155 | $5.1 | -$8.81 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 24.03 | $0.054 | $1.54 | +$0.24 |
| sell |
| 38.56 |
| $0.971 |
| $37.44 |
| Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 74.68 | $0.011 | $0.82 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 85.48 | $0.150 | $12.82 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 42.59 | $0.961 | $40.93 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 54.56 | $0.051 | $2.78 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 50.33 | $0.968 | $48.72 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 14.65 | $0.972 | $14.24 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 34.39 | $0.958 | $32.95 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 5.24 | $0.767 | $4.02 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 85.96 | $0.766 | $65.85 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 177.61 | $0.054 | $9.59 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes | buy | 51.89 | $0.965 | $50.07 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 43.95 | $0.259 | $11.38 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 41.58 | $0.610 | $25.38 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 46.95 | $0.790 | $37.09 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 50.74 | $0.820 | $41.61 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 52.14 | $0.270 | $14.08 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 56.17 | $0.270 | $15.17 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes | sell | 57.67 | $0.760 | $43.83 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes | buy | 84.2 | $0.770 | $64.83 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 31.65 | $0.651 | $20.6 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 135.03 | $0.360 | $48.61 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 94.34 | $0.244 | $23.02 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 138.29 | $0.245 | $33.88 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 9.98 | $0.374 | $3.73 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 68.22 | $0.387 | $26.4 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 53.47 | $0.730 | $39.03 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 187.28 | $0.398 | $74.51 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 36.83 | $0.241 | $8.88 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 112.48 | $0.009 | $1.01 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 46.42 | $0.032 | $1.49 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 47.28 | $0.961 | $45.44 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 55.45 | $0.725 | $40.2 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 187.16 | $0.009 | $1.68 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 164.89 | $0.247 | $40.73 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 34.01 | $0.245 | $8.33 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 140.49 | $0.719 | $101.01 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 81.74 | $0.254 | $20.76 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 73.27 | $0.025 | $1.83 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 16.19 | $0.260 | $4.21 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 21.08 | $0.084 | $1.77 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5.18 | $0.416 | $2.15 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 24.55 | $0.969 | $23.79 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 63.51 | $0.418 | $26.55 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 68.69 | $0.423 | $29.06 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 122.95 | $0.410 | $50.41 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseNo | sell | 11.02 | $0.570 | $6.28 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 114.23 | $0.587 | $67.05 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | sell | 34.56 | $0.150 | $5.18 | Feb 27, 2026 |