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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
House control after 2024 election?Republican | buy | 1.05 | $0.981 | $1.03 | Nov 10, 2024 |
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| buy |
| 6.25 |
| $0.997 |
| $6.23 |
| Nov 9, 2024 |
Will Biden resign before the election?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.999 | $1.01 | Nov 4, 2024 |
Kamala photographed with a gun before the election?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.989 | $1.01 | Nov 4, 2024 |
Will Caitlin Clark endorse Kamala Harris?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.989 | $1.01 | Nov 4, 2024 |
Will a Republican win Montana Governor Election?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.996 | $1.01 | Nov 4, 2024 |
Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.998 | $1.01 | Nov 4, 2024 |
Hunter Biden in jail before election day?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.998 | $1.01 | Nov 4, 2024 |
Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.995 | $1.01 | Nov 4, 2024 |
Donald & Melania Trump divorce before election?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.999 | $1.01 | Nov 4, 2024 |
Will Kamala go on Lex Fridman podcast?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.998 | $1.01 | Nov 4, 2024 |
Will Trump say "god" 4 or more times during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.998 | $1.01 | Nov 4, 2024 |
Will LSDP win the most seats in the 2024 Lithuania legislative election?No | buy | 0.17 | $0.058 | $0.01 | Oct 13, 2024 |
Will Trump say "border" 20 or more times during Arizona rally on October 13?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.920 | $0.01 | Oct 13, 2024 |
Will Israel strike Iran on Sunday?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.968 | $0.01 | Oct 13, 2024 |
Solana above $145 on October 18?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.550 | $0.01 | Oct 13, 2024 |
JD Vance favorability >40% by Friday Oct 11?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.004 | $0.01 | Oct 13, 2024 |
Ethereum above $2,400 on October 18?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.660 | $0.01 | Oct 13, 2024 |
Solana above $145 on October 11?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.999 | $0.01 | Oct 11, 2024 |
JD Vance favorability >40% by Friday Oct 11?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.005 | $0.01 | Oct 11, 2024 |
Hoffman vs. WarwickHoffman | buy | 0.03 | $0.340 | $0.01 | Oct 11, 2024 |
Will Trump say "border" 20 or more times during Colorado rally on October 11?No | buy | 0.13 | $0.160 | $0.02 | Oct 11, 2024 |
JD Vance favorability >40% by Friday Oct 11?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.005 | $0.03 | Oct 11, 2024 |
European Central Bank cuts rates in Oct meeting?No | buy | 0.42 | $0.048 | $0.02 | Oct 11, 2024 |
Will a candidate from another party win New York Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 12.92K | $0.002 | $25.84 | Oct 7, 2024 |
Will a candidate from another party win New York Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 12.92K | $0.002 | $25.84 | Oct 7, 2024 |
Will a candidate from another party win New York Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 12.92K | $0.002 | $25.84 | Oct 7, 2024 |
Will a candidate from another party win New York Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 12.92K | $0.002 | $25.84 | Oct 7, 2024 |
Will a candidate from another party win New York Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 11.7K | $0.003 | $35.11 | Oct 7, 2024 |
Will a candidate from another party win New York Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.22K | $0.002 | $2.43 | Oct 7, 2024 |