Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.250 | $5.6 | +$0.6 |
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Yes | buy | 9.62 | $0.260 | $2.5 | 5d ago |
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| Yes |
| 12.5 |
| $0.400 |
| $3.69 |
| -$1.31 |
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 17.65 | $0.170 | $3.62 | +$0.62 |
Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | Yes | 9.62 | $0.260 | $2.74 | +$0.24 |
| buy |
| 12.5 |
| $0.400 |
| $5 |
| 6d ago |
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | 6d ago |
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.65 | $0.170 | $3 | 6d ago |
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?No | sell | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | 26d ago |
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | 26d ago |
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.078 | $1.56 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?No | sell | 50 | $0.820 | $41 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?No | buy | 23 | $0.900 | $20.7 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?No | buy | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.075 | $7.5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.914 | $45.68 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 10 | $0.965 | $9.65 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?No | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Will there be no next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.031 | $1.24 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.220 | $11 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 10 | $0.670 | $6.7 | May 23, 2026 |
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes | buy | 24.99 | $0.680 | $16.99 | May 23, 2026 |
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No | buy | 20 | $0.925 | $18.5 | May 23, 2026 |
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.410 | $4.1 | May 4, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | May 4, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No | buy | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | May 4, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?Yes | buy | 9.99 | $0.470 | $4.7 | May 4, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 15.11 | $0.939 | $14.19 | May 4, 2026 |
SBF released from custody in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | May 4, 2026 |
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | May 4, 2026 |
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.034 | $0.2 | May 4, 2026 |
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.041 | $1.22 | May 4, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 10 | $0.360 | $3.6 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.460 | $4.6 | Feb 28, 2026 |
SBF released from custody in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.130 | $2.6 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?No | sell | 10 | $0.890 | $8.9 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Palantir dip to $111 in February?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?No | buy | 6 | $0.800 | $4.8 | Feb 24, 2026 |
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.860 | $8.6 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.896 | $8.96 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Palantir dip to $126 in February?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No | sell | 23 | $0.612 | $14.08 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.920 | $5.52 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No | buy | 5 | $0.245 | $1.23 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No | buy | 5 | $0.245 | $1.23 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No | buy | 5 | $0.605 | $3.03 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No | buy | 10 | $0.250 | $2.5 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No | buy | 10 | $0.614 | $6.14 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No | buy | 8 | $0.251 | $2.01 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No | buy | 8 | $0.614 | $4.91 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.700 | $5.6 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.75 | $0.510 | $1.4 | Feb 11, 2026 |