Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 100kt meteor strike in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.930 | $19.28 | +$0.68 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.330 | $16.5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 10 |
| $0.830 |
| $9.63 |
| +$1.33 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Yes | 19.98 | $0.470 | $6 | -$3.4 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.480 | $0.65 | -$4.15 |
| sell |
| 8.53 |
| $0.070 |
| $0.6 |
| Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?No | sell | 53.51 | $0.800 | $42.81 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in March 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in March 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce a new supreme leader by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.140 | $2.94 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce a new supreme leader by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.68 | $0.040 | $0.31 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.47 | $0.030 | $0.58 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MarchNothing | buy | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.480 | $4.8 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28?Yes | sell | 59.56 | $0.050 | $2.98 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.830 | $8.3 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?No | sell | 15.1 | $0.360 | $5.44 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan"?Yes | sell | 1.89 | $0.011 | $0.02 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.995 | $24.88 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.430 | $10.75 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam"?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.041 | $2.05 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam"?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.059 | $2.95 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan"?No | sell | 4.16 | $0.940 | $3.91 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?Yes | buy | 7.74 | $0.620 | $4.8 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?Yes | buy | 100.1 | $0.290 | $29.03 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.280 | $2.8 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together by August 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.900 | $45 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together by August 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.900 | $45 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage in 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.780 | $15.6 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.220 | $5.5 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.017 | $1.67 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?No | sell | 25 | $0.042 | $1.04 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 Will Kamala Harris say "Tariff" during Colbert show on July 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.020 | $0.1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.158 | $3.95 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $26m?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.109 | $1.09 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?No | sell | 25.75 | $0.835 | $21.5 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will anyone be charged for insider trading Trump tariff announcements?No | buy | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in July?No | buy | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?No | buy | 45.13 | $0.024 | $1.08 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by July 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.990 | $19.8 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by August 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.950 | $19 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files in June?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.210 | $21 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump cut Medicaid before July?Yes | buy | 127.05 | $0.133 | $16.9 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.730 | $18.25 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.690 | $17.25 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will the next Pope be in favor of Communion for Divorced & Remarried?No | sell | 30 | $0.360 | $10.8 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will Meta announce Instagram sale in 2025?Yes | sell | 23.13 | $0.070 | $1.62 | May 5, 2025 |
| Will the next Pope be in favor of Communion for Divorced & Remarried?No | buy | 30 | $0.350 | $10.5 | May 5, 2025 |