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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 7.14 | $0.140 | $5.75 | +$4.75 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Yes |
| 7.69 |
| $0.130 |
| $4.55 |
| +$3.55 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | No | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1.88 | +$0.88 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
 Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70? | No | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1.26 | $0.796 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
 Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? | No | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 1.23 | $0.813 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANAI? | No | 1.04 | $0.961 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1.15 | $0.870 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 2.86 | $0.350 | $0.8 | -$0.2 |
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60? | No | 27.03 | $0.037 | $0.74 | -$0.26 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 1.59 | $0.630 | $0.66 | -$0.34 |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 142.86 | $0.007 | $0.57 | -$0.43 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes | 5.03 | $0.199 | $0.57 | -$0.43 |
 Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.001 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
 Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.001 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 1.16 | $0.860 | $0.44 | -$0.56 |
| GTA VI released by October 31? | Yes | 20 | $0.050 | $0.3 | -$0.7 |
Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes| buy |
| 78.48 |
| $0.013 |
| $1 |
| Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.43 | $0.106 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| GTA VI released by October 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.957 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.083 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 7.19 | $0.139 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 7.09 | $0.141 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.35 | $0.187 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.813 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.03 | $0.199 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?Tesla | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?Yes | buy | 277.25 | $0.004 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Down | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.26 | $0.796 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |