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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 216.72 | $0.337 | $170.12 | +$96.99 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 20.93 | $0.420 | $8.79 | 38m ago |
|
| No |
| 120.68 |
| $0.819 |
| $103.18 |
| +$4.39 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 99.6 | $0.820 | $91.68 | +$10.01 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 118.64 | $0.590 | $87.2 | +$17.2 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 96.87 | $0.648 | $63.93 | +$1.19 |
 Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 65.17 | $0.666 | $59.63 | +$16.23 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 54.44 | $0.877 | $53.27 | +$5.5 |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 51.91 | $0.744 | $46.46 | +$7.83 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 49.97 | $0.695 | $42.72 | +$7.97 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? | No | 50.63 | $0.780 | $41.52 | +$2.03 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | No | 41.21 | $0.780 | $40.39 | +$8.24 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 88.42 | $0.361 | $37.58 | +$5.61 |
 Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 31.33 | $0.884 | $28.04 | +$0.33 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 31.07 | $0.860 | $27.81 | +$1.09 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 40 | $0.590 | $26.2 | +$2.6 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 32.95 | $0.670 | $26.19 | +$4.12 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 167.02 | $0.177 | $24.22 | -$5.31 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 27.63 | $0.556 | $23.9 | +$8.53 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 23.09 | $0.348 | $21.12 | +$13.08 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 21.17 | $0.770 | $19.79 | +$3.49 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 21.52 | $0.828 | $19.05 | +$1.22 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 42.18 | $0.500 | $18.77 | -$2.32 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 20.79 | $0.760 | $17.36 | +$1.56 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | No | 17.49 | $0.810 | $16 | +$1.84 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | No | 17.6 | $0.746 | $15.22 | +$2.1 |
| sell |
| 5.19 |
| $0.430 |
| $2.23 |
| 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.65 | $0.430 | $0.28 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 42.72 | $0.430 | $18.37 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.06 | $0.430 | $0.03 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 9.72 | $0.380 | $3.69 | 14h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 13.54 | $0.510 | $6.91 | 15h ago |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 13.29 | $0.460 | $6.11 | 15h ago |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.850 | $0.14 | 17h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 23.99 | $0.330 | $7.92 | 17h ago |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.860 | $0.01 | 18h ago |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.860 | $0.03 | 18h ago |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?No | sell | 8.68 | $0.976 | $8.47 | 18h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 39.29 | $0.340 | $13.36 | 19h ago |
 Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Yes | buy | 19.42 | $0.210 | $4.08 | 20h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.590 | $23.6 | 20h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 16.15 | $0.810 | $13.08 | 20h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 49.03 | $0.398 | $19.51 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No | sell | 77.23 | $0.440 | $33.98 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 19.45 | $0.330 | $6.42 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 7.94 | $0.370 | $2.94 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 10.51 | $0.470 | $4.94 | 21h ago |
 Will Reid Hamer-Jackson win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?Yes | buy | 6.04 | $0.180 | $1.09 | 22h ago |
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 5.05 | $0.450 | $2.27 | 22h ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 49.08 | $0.913 | $44.81 | 1d ago |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?No | sell | 9.87 | $0.976 | $9.63 | 1d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.09 | $0.914 | $9.22 | 1d ago |
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.75 | $0.080 | $1.1 | 1d ago |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.93 | $0.080 | $1.75 | 1d ago |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.22 | $0.080 | $2.26 | 1d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.96 | $0.914 | $6.36 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 37.31 | $0.660 | $24.62 | 1d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 28.61 | $0.030 | $0.86 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 18.2 | $0.450 | $8.19 | 1d ago |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | sell | 33.43 | $0.880 | $29.42 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 43.83 | $0.450 | $19.72 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 18.26 | $0.420 | $7.67 | 1d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 50.63 | $0.780 | $39.49 | 1d ago |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 13.41 | $0.390 | $5.23 | 1d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 24.71 | $0.230 | $5.68 | 2d ago |
 Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?No | buy | 12.13 | $0.660 | $8.01 | 2d ago |
 Will Nasiphi Moya be the next mayor of Tshwane?Yes | sell | 2.4 | $0.160 | $0.38 | 2d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No | buy | 5.51 | $0.360 | $1.98 | 2d ago |
 Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Yes | sell | 6.09 | $0.760 | $4.63 | 2d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 8.55 | $0.830 | $7.1 | 3d ago |
 Will Alex Nuttall win the 2026 Barrie mayoral election?Yes | sell | 0.32 | $0.820 | $0.26 | 3d ago |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.05 | $0.250 | $0.01 | 3d ago |
| Will Alex Nuttall win the 2026 Barrie mayoral election?Yes | sell | 0.15 | $0.810 | $0.12 | 3d ago |
| Will Alex Nuttall win the 2026 Barrie mayoral election?Yes | sell | 0.46 | $0.810 | $0.37 | 3d ago |
| Will Alex Nuttall win the 2026 Barrie mayoral election?Yes | sell | 0.24 | $0.820 | $0.2 | 3d ago |