Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | Yes | 113.64 | $0.220 | $34.09 | +$9.09 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.220 | $25 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 142.86 |
| $0.350 |
| $20.36 |
| -$29.64 |
 Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? | Yes | 57.58 | $0.087 | $16.76 | +$11.76 |
 Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | Yes | 40.4 | $0.346 | $9.29 | -$4.71 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 125 | $0.200 | $9.06 | -$15.94 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 24.39 | $0.410 | $5 | -$5 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | No | 175.82 | $0.110 | $4.83 | -$14.5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 142.86 | $0.070 | $4.36 | -$5.64 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 37.04 | $0.270 | $2.41 | -$7.59 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | Yes | 9 | $0.360 | $1.22 | -$2.03 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.120 | $0.9 | -$5.1 |
| Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026? | Yes | 98.04 | $0.051 | $0.83 | -$4.17 |
| buy |
| 30.1 |
| $0.411 |
| $12.37 |
| Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?Yes | buy | 12.36 | $0.789 | $9.75 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 128.64 | $0.031 | $4 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Pam Bondi be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 58.64 | $0.171 | $10 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Homan" during the State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 22.25 | $0.400 | $8.9 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 New 10% US blanket tariff goes into effect by February 28?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 GPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?No | sell | 29.85 | $0.961 | $28.69 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Yes | buy | 40.4 | $0.347 | $14 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 29.85 | $0.670 | $20 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 33.9 | $0.059 | $2 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.700 | $20 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?No | buy | 175.82 | $0.110 | $19.34 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.240 | $20 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?No | buy | 24.69 | $0.810 | $20 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 98.04 | $0.051 | $5 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 57.58 | $0.087 | $5 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will the US strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 55.99 | $0.089 | $5 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.200 | $25 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.350 | $50 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?Yes | buy | 96.77 | $0.310 | $30 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?No | buy | 22.12 | $0.904 | $20 | Jan 25, 2026 |