Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.950 | $1.36 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.2 |
| $0.900 |
| $1.08 |
| Jan 14, 2026 |
| Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.900 | $1.08 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the February decision?Yes | sell | 1.37 | $0.952 | $1.3 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.900 | $1.39 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?No | sell | 3.03 | $0.999 | $3.03 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the February decision?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.940 | $1.29 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.860 | $2.61 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Trove FDV above $40M one day after launch?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.790 | $1.19 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Trove FDV above $40M one day after launch?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.820 | $1.24 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will "Wake Up Dead Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 23, 2025)Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.987 | $1.35 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will the Australian hero donation campaign raise between $2.25 million and $2.5 million by December 16?No | buy | 1.73 | $0.840 | $1.45 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be between 38% and 40%?No | sell | 1.18 | $0.999 | $1.18 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be between 38% and 40%?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.900 | $1.07 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on December 5, 2025?No | buy | 1.76 | $0.710 | $1.25 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?No | sell | 1.62 | $0.750 | $1.22 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.780 | $1.27 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.5 on November 21 2025?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.994 | $1.45 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Backpack launch a token by December 31?No | sell | 1.42 | $0.964 | $1.37 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Backpack launch a token by December 31?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.967 | $1.38 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | sell | 1.35 | $0.930 | $1.26 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.950 | $1.29 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will the Blue Jays beat the Dodgers 4-2Yes | buy | 2.41 | $0.440 | $1.06 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?No | sell | 3.2 | $0.310 | $0.99 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?No | buy | 3.2 | $0.350 | $1.12 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.870 | $0.97 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will David Lisnard be the next Prime Minister of France?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.994 | $1.1 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa get between 13% and 16% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 1.46 | $0.840 | $1.23 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa get between 13% and 16% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.860 | $1.26 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 2025 September third hottest on record?Yes | sell | 1.6 | $0.920 | $1.47 | Sep 5, 2025 |
| 2025 September third hottest on record?Yes | buy | 1.6 | $0.880 | $1.41 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.26 | $0.920 | $1.16 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?No | sell | 1.31 | $0.880 | $1.15 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | sell | 3.54 | $0.958 | $3.39 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.900 | $1.18 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?No | sell | 1.97 | $0.760 | $1.5 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will "Freakier Friday" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.460 | $1.02 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?No | buy | 1.97 | $0.710 | $1.4 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 0.94 | $0.606 | $0.57 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?No | buy | 1.7 | $0.860 | $1.46 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 1.22 | $0.930 | $1.13 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.940 | $1.15 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 4.36 | $0.179 | $0.78 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will Alexander Bublik win the 2025 Swiss Open?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.890 | $1.11 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 4.36 | $0.344 | $1.5 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Iran nuclear test in 2025?No | sell | 0.71 | $0.890 | $0.63 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will Jake O'Brien be drafted in the top 10 of the 2025 NHL Draft?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.750 | $1.23 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Iran nuclear test in 2025?No | sell | 0.87 | $0.880 | $0.77 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Iran nuclear test in 2025?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.920 | $1.46 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 0.82 | $0.697 | $0.57 | Jun 12, 2025 |