Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.870 | $93 | +$6 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?No | sell | 1 | $0.762 | $0.76 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 80.14 |
| $0.936 |
| $79.78 |
| +$4.77 |
 Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | No | 50.77 | $0.855 | $49.83 | +$6.44 |
 Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat? | Yes | 50 | $0.910 | $48.43 | +$2.93 |
 Will the Republican Party win the AL-06 House seat? | Yes | 50 | $0.910 | $47 | +$1.5 |
 Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat? | Yes | 50 | $0.820 | $46.75 | +$5.75 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-03 House seat? | Yes | 50 | $0.840 | $46.75 | +$4.75 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-02 House seat? | Yes | 50 | $0.860 | $46.25 | +$3.25 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 76.76 | $0.184 | $43.37 | +$29.26 |
 Blue tsunami in 2026? | Yes | 99.99 | $0.460 | $41.5 | -$4.5 |
 Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat? | Yes | 46.35 | $0.680 | $39.63 | +$8.11 |
 Spain snap election called in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.700 | $39.5 | +$4.5 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | Yes | 194 | $0.257 | $26.19 | -$23.62 |
 Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 27.95 | $0.805 | $25.86 | +$3.35 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 50 | $0.460 | $24.75 | +$1.75 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? | Yes | 25.3 | $0.840 | $22.01 | +$0.76 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.910 | $19.39 | +$1.19 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | No | 20 | $0.640 | $18.4 | +$5.6 |
 Will the Republican Party win the GA-07 House seat? | Yes | 19.76 | $0.760 | $18.18 | +$3.16 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 32 | $0.411 | $15.52 | +$2.36 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.530 | $11.1 | +$0.5 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat? | Yes | 14.64 | $0.720 | $10.76 | +$0.22 |
 Maduro guilty of all counts? | Yes | 40 | $0.315 | $8.8 | -$3.8 |
 Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.390 | $8.8 | +$1 |
 Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 20.07 | $0.870 | $8.63 | -$8.83 |
| sell |
| 50 |
| $0.023 |
| $1.15 |
| Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Reilly Neill be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Montana?No | sell | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.044 | $0.88 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?Yes | sell | 15.19 | $0.033 | $0.5 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.520 | $20.8 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?Yes | sell | 22.39 | $0.820 | $18.36 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 78 | $0.024 | $1.87 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 5?No | sell | 21 | $0.970 | $20.37 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?No | sell | 104 | $0.943 | $98.06 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 4.71 | $0.370 | $1.74 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?No | sell | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 43.8 | $0.470 | $20.59 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.710 | $24.85 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 200.87 | $0.630 | $126.55 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?No | sell | 50 | $0.013 | $0.65 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes | sell | 59 | $0.053 | $3.13 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 200 | $0.604 | $120.8 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Joe Mitchell be the Republican Nominee for IA-02?Yes | sell | 36.25 | $0.950 | $34.44 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.320 | $16 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 19.21 | $0.400 | $7.68 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 38.28 | $0.400 | $15.31 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.9 | $0.650 | $6.44 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 4.66 | $0.960 | $4.47 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No | sell | 20 | $0.979 | $19.58 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.820 | $16.4 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.220 | $4.4 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.141 | $3.67 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No | sell | 40 | $0.072 | $2.86 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.780 | $39 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | sell | 17.03 | $0.404 | $6.88 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Mark Warner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Virginia?No | sell | 60 | $0.011 | $0.66 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 68 | $0.040 | $2.72 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.981 | $98.1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 88.41 | $0.994 | $87.88 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 102 | $0.042 | $4.28 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | sell | 200 | $0.013 | $2.6 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.202 | $80.8 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 756 | $0.064 | $48.38 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.180 | $3.6 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.650 | $13 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.790 | $15.8 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.180 | $3.6 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.180 | $3.6 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Eric Chung be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?No | buy | 16.69 | $0.290 | $4.84 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.960 | $48 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?No | buy | 40 | $0.040 | $1.6 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?No | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.735 | $9.08 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?No | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Apr 2, 2026 |