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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.640 | $40 | Oct 12, 2024 |
 |
| buy |
| 71.43 |
| $0.014 |
| $1 |
| Oct 7, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?No | sell | 8.7 | $0.998 | $8.68 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $2,400 on October 11?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 2024 October hottest on record?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by October 31?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 Israel military response against Iran by Friday?No | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 13.11 | $0.610 | $8 | Oct 5, 2024 |
 JD Vance favorability >40% by Friday Oct 11?Yes | buy | 38.97 | $0.154 | $6 | Oct 5, 2024 |
 Another Iran strike on Israel in October?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Oct 5, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris say "Abortion" 3 or more times on Call Her Daddy?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Oct 5, 2024 |
 Will Mitt Romney endorse Kamala?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.252 | $4 | Oct 5, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris say "context" on Call Her Daddy?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Oct 5, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet less than 150 times October 4-11?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.030 | $2 | Oct 5, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?No | buy | 500 | $0.006 | $3 | Oct 5, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?No | buy | 8.76 | $0.571 | $5 | Oct 5, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10.14 | $0.493 | $5 | Oct 5, 2024 |