Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 203.83 | $0.393 | $80.01 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 155.17 |
| $0.029 |
| $4.45 |
| Jan 23, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | sell | 158.87 | $0.028 | $4.45 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.24 | $0.250 | $1.06 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 119.41 | $0.033 | $4 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 27.7 | $0.036 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 51.91 | $0.019 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 29.81 | $0.034 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 39.04 | $0.026 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 42.71 | $0.023 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 46.36 | $0.022 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 37.08 | $0.027 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 20.63 | $0.048 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.069 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.078 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 23.33 | $0.180 | $4.2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 7.77 | $0.180 | $1.4 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 31.09 | $0.190 | $5.91 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 62.19 | $0.190 | $11.82 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 124.37 | $0.200 | $24.87 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.241 | $20.05 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 2.56 | $0.410 | $1.05 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | sell | 230 | $0.070 | $16.1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.410 | $8.2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 345.71 | $0.080 | $27.66 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.359 | $17.94 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.400 | $8 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.170 | $20 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.250 | $12.5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.240 | $20 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?Yes | sell | 149.04 | $0.003 | $0.45 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?Yes | sell | 28.57 | $0.002 | $0.06 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Obama federally charged in 2025?Yes | sell | 23.25 | $0.003 | $0.07 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 11.51 | $0.489 | $5.62 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |