Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 41.31K | $0.003 | $123.92 | Mar 2, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 34.2K |
| $0.002 |
| $68.4 |
| Mar 2, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 39.58K | $0.004 | $158.3 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 158.55K | $0.003 | $475.66 | Mar 2, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.75K | $0.340 | $594.31 | Feb 23, 2026 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.119 | $594.3 | Feb 23, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.8K | $0.540 | $3.13K | Feb 23, 2026 |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 3.26K | $0.962 | $3.13K | Feb 23, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 5.95K | $0.840 | $5K | Feb 22, 2026 |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 3.26K | $0.962 | $3.13K | Feb 18, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 0.1 | $0.912 | $0.09 | Feb 18, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 15K | $0.739 | $11.08K | Feb 18, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.72K | $0.400 | $4.29K | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 39.58K | $0.002 | $79.15 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 38.19K | $0.002 | $76.38 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 15.38K | $0.003 | $46.13 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 25.93K | $0.003 | $77.79 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 25.82K | $0.003 | $77.47 | Feb 12, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 14.98K | $0.480 | $7.19K | Feb 12, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 25K | $0.660 | $16.5K | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Yes | sell | 64.02K | $0.012 | $751.67 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Yes | buy | 13.34K | $0.060 | $800.26 | Feb 3, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.24K | $0.750 | $928.5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.22K | $0.590 | $1.31K | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Yes | buy | 2.91 | $0.260 | $0.76 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Yes | buy | 686.47 | $0.397 | $272.7 | Feb 3, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.88K | $0.450 | $2.64K | Feb 1, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.39K | $0.550 | $1.86K | Feb 1, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.5K | $0.540 | $1.89K | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 50.88K | $0.002 | $101.77 | Feb 1, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.87K | $0.660 | $1.23K | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 45K | $0.003 | $135 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 8.38K | $0.001 | $8.38 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 50.1 | $0.002 | $0.1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 24.3K | $0.002 | $48.6 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 12.14K | $0.984 | $11.95K | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 27.85K | $0.985 | $27.44K | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 62.21K | $0.001 | $62.21 | Jan 30, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 26K | $0.037 | $961.94 | Jan 30, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 7.03K | $0.578 | $4.06K | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 579.4 | $0.250 | $144.85 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 250.2 | $0.471 | $117.84 | Jan 28, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 13.64K | $0.551 | $7.52K | Jan 26, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 5.92K | $0.487 | $2.88K | Jan 26, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 2.29K | $0.031 | $72.2 | Jan 26, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.4K | $0.770 | $4.16K | Jan 22, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 16.14K | $0.450 | $7.26K | Jan 22, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 21.08K | $0.039 | $822.12 | Jan 22, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.94K | $0.780 | $3.86K | Jan 22, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.319 | $3.19K | Jan 22, 2026 |