Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 10.79 | $0.647 | $9.66 | +$2.67 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 2.46 | $0.780 | $1.92 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 9.62 |
| $0.779 |
| $9.54 |
| +$2.05 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 10 | $0.487 | $8.6 | +$3.73 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 10 | $0.140 | $8.15 | +$6.75 |
 FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | No | 8 | $0.747 | $7.54 | +$1.56 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 8.24 | $0.547 | $6.88 | +$2.37 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 7.26 | $0.253 | $6.43 | +$4.59 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Yes | 20 | $0.397 | $5.9 | -$2.05 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | No | 8.39 | $0.714 | $5.24 | -$0.75 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | No | 13.11 | $0.620 | $4.92 | -$3.21 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.810 | $4.73 | +$0.68 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 5.02 | $0.740 | $4.72 | +$1 |
 X banned in any European country by December 31? | No | 4.76 | $0.440 | $4.02 | +$1.93 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 19.98 | $0.397 | $3.1 | -$4.84 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | Yes | 64.92 | $0.121 | $1.79 | -$6.1 |
 Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | No | 1.09 | $0.920 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
 Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 15.38 | $0.065 | $0.96 | -$0.04 |
 Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30? | Yes | 3.7 | $0.270 | $0.24 | -$0.76 |
 UK Recession in 2026? | Yes | 0.38 | $0.452 | $0.02 | -$0.15 |
| buy |
| 4.16 |
| $0.320 |
| $1.33 |
| Jul 4, 2026 |
| Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreNo | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No | sell | 4.94 | $0.025 | $0.12 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No | sell | 10 | $0.063 | $0.63 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No | buy | 14.94 | $0.085 | $1.27 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.530 | $1.09 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | buy | 2.26 | $0.260 | $0.59 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 4.4 | $0.550 | $2.42 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?Yes | buy | 5.84 | $0.310 | $1.81 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?Yes | buy | 5.72 | $0.300 | $1.72 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 2?No | sell | 5 | $0.010 | $0.05 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 2?No | sell | 5 | $0.010 | $0.05 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 2?No | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Austria: Team to AdvanceAustria | buy | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.98 | $0.410 | $2.04 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.32 | $0.780 | $2.59 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.8 | $0.640 | $2.43 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.640 | $3.2 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.307 | $3.07 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.994 | $4.97 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Yes | buy | 14.92 | $0.120 | $1.79 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.120 | $4.8 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.987 | $4.94 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 3.68 | $0.370 | $1.36 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 10 | $0.370 | $3.7 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?No | buy | 3.11 | $0.620 | $1.93 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 31.22 | $0.190 | $5.93 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 6.23 | $0.220 | $1.37 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No | sell | 5 | $0.746 | $3.73 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.280 | $2.8 | Jun 28, 2026 |