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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 23.71 | $0.650 | $20.27 | +$4.86 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | sell | 121 | $0.150 | $18.15 | 21h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 20.56 |
| $0.720 |
| $15.31 |
| +$0.51 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 70.42 | $0.240 | $14.44 | -$2.46 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 20.57 | $0.700 | $14.3 | -$0.1 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 65 | $0.228 | $13.33 | -$1.49 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 103.95 | $0.177 | $8.73 | -$9.67 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0.66 | $0.410 | $0.35 | +$0.08 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 0.23 | $0.430 | $0.19 | +$0.09 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 0.58 | $0.186 | $0.07 | -$0.04 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | No | 0.85 | $0.330 | $0.04 | -$0.24 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | Yes | 0.14 | $0.140 | $0.02 | +$0 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 0.14 | $0.140 | $0.02 | -$0 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 0.87 | $0.149 | $0.01 | -$0.12 |
| buy |
| 13 |
| $0.220 |
| $2.86 |
| 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 59 | $0.390 | $23.01 | 1d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 121.14 | $0.140 | $16.96 | 2d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 70.42 | $0.240 | $16.9 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 59.76 | $0.330 | $19.72 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 121 | $0.170 | $20.57 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 51.1 | $0.310 | $15.84 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 121.14 | $0.140 | $16.96 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 103.95 | $0.177 | $18.4 | 5d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 80 | $0.200 | $16 | 7d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 80.58 | $0.186 | $15 | 8d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 20.56 | $0.720 | $14.8 | 9d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.404 | $40.43 | 10d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.490 | $17.15 | 11d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | buy | 20.57 | $0.700 | $14.4 | 17d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?Yes | buy | 64 | $0.250 | $16 | 18d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 167 | $0.223 | $37.19 | 19d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?No | sell | 71 | $0.460 | $32.66 | 20d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?No | buy | 71 | $0.280 | $19.88 | 20d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 23.71 | $0.650 | $15.41 | 21d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.660 | $33 | 22d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 37 | $0.971 | $35.93 | 26d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 167.87 | $0.149 | $24.96 | 29d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 35.66 | $0.410 | $14.62 | 29d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?Yes | buy | 105.75 | $0.160 | $16.92 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 50.23 | $0.430 | $21.6 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No | buy | 137.85 | $0.130 | $17.92 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 46.08 | $0.365 | $16.8 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?No | sell | 85 | $0.350 | $29.75 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?No | buy | 85.86 | $0.290 | $24.9 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsFaZe | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsFaZe | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?Yes | sell | 178 | $0.010 | $1.78 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 207.67 | $0.120 | $24.92 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?Yes | buy | 178.29 | $0.140 | $24.96 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.334 | $16.71 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.590 | $18.88 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 53.57 | $0.280 | $15 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 83 | $0.350 | $29.05 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 159 | $0.197 | $31.34 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes | sell | 294 | $0.083 | $24.4 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 99.6 | $0.150 | $14.94 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 159 | $0.149 | $23.69 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 294.08 | $0.085 | $24.99 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 347 | $0.070 | $24.29 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes | sell | 28 | $0.840 | $23.52 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes | buy | 28.66 | $0.850 | $24.36 | Jul 2, 2026 |