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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | No | 79.68 | $0.630 | $79.16 | +$28.96 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 161.23 | $0.310 | $49.98 | 16h ago |
|
| No |
| 82.16 |
| $0.608 |
| $52.17 |
| +$2.25 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 161.23 | $0.310 | $49.17 | -$0.81 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 101.67 | $0.490 | $48.29 | -$1.53 |
 Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 91.43 | $0.538 | $41.42 | -$7.82 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 74.6 | $0.670 | $40.66 | -$9.32 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | 75.33 | $0.660 | $37.29 | -$12.41 |
 Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 79.63 | $0.627 | $34.24 | -$15.68 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 25 | $0.390 | $23.95 | +$14.2 |
| buy |
| 82.16 |
| $0.608 |
| $49.92 |
| 1d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No | buy | 75.33 | $0.660 | $49.7 | 2d ago |
 Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 87.56 | $0.570 | $49.91 | 2d ago |
 Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?SPD | buy | 86.07 | $0.580 | $49.92 | 2d ago |
 Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 108.52 | $0.460 | $49.92 | 3d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 101.67 | $0.490 | $49.82 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.390 | $9.75 | 4d ago |
 Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 78.56 | $0.636 | $49.98 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 74.6 | $0.670 | $49.98 | 6d ago |
| Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 79.63 | $0.627 | $49.92 | 7d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 91.43 | $0.539 | $49.24 | 9d ago |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?No | buy | 79.68 | $0.630 | $50.2 | 12d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 5–10%?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.005 | $0.17 | 12d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 42.36 | $0.015 | $0.64 | 12d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Yes | sell | 35.08 | $0.790 | $27.71 | 12d ago |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.270 | $16.88 | 12d ago |
 Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?No | sell | 28.98 | $0.870 | $25.21 | 12d ago |
 Christopher Luxon out by September 30?No | sell | 16.36 | $0.962 | $15.74 | 12d ago |
| Christopher Luxon out by September 30?No | sell | 19 | $0.961 | $18.26 | 12d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 46.64 | $0.400 | $18.66 | 12d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?No | sell | 35.77 | $0.590 | $21.1 | 12d ago |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Yes | sell | 5.97 | $0.016 | $0.1 | 12d ago |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.017 | $0.77 | 12d ago |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?No | sell | 38.46 | $0.956 | $36.77 | 12d ago |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | sell | 38.7 | $0.964 | $37.31 | 12d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 30.3 | $0.996 | $30.18 | 12d ago |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 5.76 | $0.170 | $0.98 | 12d ago |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 12.19 | $0.840 | $10.24 | 12d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 16.66 | $0.680 | $11.33 | 12d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.050 | $0.65 | 12d ago |
 Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?No | sell | 13.29 | $0.870 | $11.56 | 12d ago |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 7.36 | $0.862 | $6.34 | 12d ago |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 7.26 | $0.886 | $6.43 | 12d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 15.62 | $0.300 | $4.69 | 12d ago |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Yes | sell | 12.1 | $0.170 | $2.06 | 12d ago |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 8.57 | $0.130 | $1.11 | 12d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.070 | $0.78 | 12d ago |
 Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | sell | 6.29 | $0.280 | $1.76 | 12d ago |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.290 | $1.26 | 12d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 10.31 | $0.490 | $5.05 | 12d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 5–10%?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.500 | $16.67 | 14d ago |
 Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.500 | $14.29 | 21d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 35.08 | $0.570 | $20 | 21d ago |
 Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?No | buy | 25 | $0.340 | $8.5 | 21d ago |
 Will Jared Moskowitz win the FL-25 Democratic primary by at least 25%?Yes | buy | 60.6 | $0.330 | $20 | 21d ago |
 Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?No | buy | 33.89 | $0.582 | $19.71 | 21d ago |
 Will Eliott Rodriguez be the FL-27 Democratic nominee?Yes | buy | 9.29 | $0.640 | $5.95 | 21d ago |
| Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?No | buy | 28.98 | $0.690 | $20 | 25d ago |
 Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?Yes | buy | 33.4 | $0.585 | $19.53 | Aug 10, 2026 |