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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.7 | $0.940 | $1.67 | +$0.07 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.962 | $1.39 | 1d ago |
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| No |
| 1.53 |
| $0.974 |
| $1.48 |
| -$0.01 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 1.44 | $0.962 | $1.41 | +$0.02 |
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 1.32 | $0.957 | $1.31 | +$0.05 |
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 1.88 | $0.616 | $1.22 | +$0.06 |
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 2.02 | $0.876 | $0.83 | -$0.94 |
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 10 | $0.260 | $0.22 | -$2.39 |
| buy |
| 1.53 |
| $0.974 |
| $1.49 |
| 7d ago |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.980 | $1.25 | 14d ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?No | buy | 2.31 | $0.520 | $1.2 | 29d ago |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 1.38 | $0.910 | $1.26 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 1.7 | $0.759 | $1.29 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.7 | $0.940 | $1.6 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.876 | $1.77 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.957 | $1.26 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 1.88 | $0.616 | $1.16 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Ebola case in the US by June 30?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.910 | $5.23 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.954 | $1.26 | May 22, 2026 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.975 | $1.32 | May 9, 2026 |
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.260 | $2.6 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 6.39 | $0.976 | $6.24 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.930 | $1.21 | Apr 3, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.39 | $0.996 | $5.37 | Mar 25, 2026 |