Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | No | 49.86 | $0.497 | $1.67 | -$23.09 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes | sell | 39.5 | $0.229 | $9.05 | 24d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 150 |
| $0.268 |
| $0.23 |
| -$39.92 |
 Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? | Yes | 53.27 | $0.070 | $0.05 | -$3.68 |
| sell |
| 250 |
| $0.426 |
| $106.54 |
| Jun 19, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.250 | $12.5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No | sell | 50 | $0.740 | $37 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.461 | $9.22 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in May?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.480 | $24 | May 9, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.977 | $195.4 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.910 | $45.5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 11.86 | $0.317 | $3.76 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 18.9 | $0.213 | $4.02 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | sell | 10.18 | $0.220 | $2.24 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | sell | 73.13 | $0.780 | $57.04 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.790 | $39.5 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Kanye release BULLY by April 3?Yes | sell | 43.99 | $0.641 | $28.18 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will "Babydoll - Dominic Fike" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.964 | $19.28 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | sell | 50 | $0.470 | $23.5 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.350 | $17.5 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 22?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.770 | $76.99 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 22?Yes | sell | 89.97 | $0.140 | $12.6 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Nike (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?No | sell | 50 | $0.130 | $6.5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.188 | $9.4 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 33.4 | $0.929 | $31.02 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.900 | $45 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | sell | 249.99 | $0.790 | $197.49 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 20?No | sell | 99.98 | $0.860 | $85.98 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will La Shawn Ford be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.206 | $10.3 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 12.82 | $0.610 | $7.82 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will CD win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No | sell | 40 | $0.756 | $30.25 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 17?No | sell | 150 | $0.524 | $78.61 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.620 | $155 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.580 | $58 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No | sell | 200 | $0.560 | $112 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No | sell | 70.6 | $0.651 | $45.99 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | sell | 124.82 | $0.370 | $46.18 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.700 | $35 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.967 | $193.4 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.370 | $25.9 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Havrylivka by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 17.12 | $0.900 | $15.41 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.133 | $39.98 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.200 | $40 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.361 | $72.27 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 30.8 | $0.114 | $3.51 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.974 | $194.8 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Akamai Technologies (AKAM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.850 | $17 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by February 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.336 | $33.57 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 2–6 seconds by February 13, 2026?No | sell | 19.77 | $0.748 | $14.78 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 199.99 | $0.180 | $36 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.070 | $7 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?No | sell | 50 | $0.947 | $47.35 | Feb 10, 2026 |