Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the February Meeting?Yes | sell | 46.42 | $0.002 | $0.09 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 38.46 |
| $0.003 |
| $0.12 |
| Feb 19, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 15.79 | $0.072 | $1.14 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the March meeting?Yes | sell | 2.4 | $0.060 | $0.14 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the March Meeting?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.006 | $0.4 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 37.5 | $0.047 | $1.76 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 15.15 | $0.590 | $8.94 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.340 | $1.89 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?Yes | sell | 2.81 | $0.770 | $2.16 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Nigeria by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 18.18 | $0.100 | $1.82 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 27.02 | $0.078 | $2.11 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?Yes | sell | 8.57 | $0.330 | $2.83 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | sell | 17.85 | $0.460 | $8.21 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the March meeting?Yes | buy | 2.41 | $0.830 | $2 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?Yes | buy | 8.57 | $0.350 | $3 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the March Meeting?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will the US seize an Iran-linked tanker by Feb 28?No | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?Yes | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 5.55 | $0.540 | $3 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.074 | $2 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| U.S. strike on Nigeria by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.043 | $1 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 US strikes Iraq by February 28?Yes | sell | 15.38 | $0.100 | $1.54 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.180 | $2.7 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.170 | $4.25 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.071 | $2.73 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20.83 | $0.210 | $4.37 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| US strikes Iraq by February 28?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the February decision?Yes | buy | 40.09 | $0.025 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the February Meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the February Meeting?Yes | buy | 46.42 | $0.022 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 15.79 | $0.190 | $3 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.030 | $3 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.5 | $0.080 | $3 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.200 | $3 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the February Meeting?Yes | sell | 107.14 | $0.005 | $0.54 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the February Meeting?Yes | sell | 47.61 | $0.009 | $0.42 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 10.3 | $0.150 | $1.55 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.007 | $1.05 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the February decision?Yes | sell | 47.61 | $0.019 | $0.92 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 27.27 | $0.040 | $1.09 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate after the February Meeting?Yes | sell | 13.6 | $0.110 | $1.5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.150 | $2.14 | Feb 1, 2026 |