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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? | No | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1.39 | +$0.39 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Conor McGregor | buy | 10.34 | $0.290 | $3 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 1.18 |
| $0.850 |
| $1.16 |
| +$0.16 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.060 | $0.83 | -$1.17 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 4.17 | $0.480 | $0.69 | -$1.31 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 9.9 | $0.101 | $0.4 | -$0.6 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 3.39 | $0.590 | $0.32 | -$1.68 |
 Anthropic acquired before 2027? | Yes | 10.53 | $0.190 | $0.32 | -$1.68 |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | Yes | 1.25 | $0.800 | $0.19 | -$0.81 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | No | 2.94 | $0.340 | $0.04 | -$0.96 |
| buy |
| 32.63 |
| $0.245 |
| $8 |
| Apr 12, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?Leadership Change | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 9.9 | $0.101 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.189 | $3 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.025 | $2 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.760 | $1.15 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 U.S. evacuates Jerusalem embassy by March 31?No | sell | 2.7 | $0.841 | $2.27 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 20.27 | $0.740 | $15 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 32.68 | $0.459 | $15 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| U.S. evacuates Jerusalem embassy by March 31?No | buy | 2.71 | $0.739 | $2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.085 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.890 | $1.01 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?No | sell | 1.38 | $0.800 | $1.1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?No | sell | 1.47 | $0.760 | $1.12 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?No | sell | 1.36 | $0.820 | $1.12 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?No | sell | 1.33 | $0.969 | $1.29 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.610 | $2.44 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?Yes | sell | 2.5 | $0.710 | $1.78 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | sell | 2.7 | $0.603 | $1.63 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?No | sell | 4.54 | $0.900 | $4.09 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 17.84 | $0.999 | $17.82 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 309.15 | $0.999 | $308.84 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 355.76 | $0.999 | $355.4 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?No | sell | 2.56 | $0.977 | $2.5 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 355.77 | $0.520 | $185 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 309.15 | $0.388 | $120 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on January 30?Down | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on January 30?Up | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 25?Up | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Iran strike on US military by February 28?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Bitcoin below MicroStrategy average buy price in 2026?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines by June 30?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.660 | $3 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 7?Up | buy | 21.32 | $0.704 | $15 | Jan 7, 2026 |