Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 68.07 | $0.129 | $56.29 | +$47.48 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 7.11 | $0.761 | $5.41 | 1d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 83.63 |
| $0.618 |
| $38.05 |
| -$13.61 |
 Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 39.75 | $0.870 | $35.58 | +$0.99 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 57.73 | $0.639 | $35.5 | -$1.4 |
 Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 49.67 | $0.144 | $28.07 | +$20.91 |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on September 30, 2026? | Yes | 38.29 | $0.140 | $23.74 | +$18.38 |
 Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,137,000 and $1,153,000 on September 30? | Yes | 92.12 | $0.134 | $23.49 | +$11.1 |
 Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30? | Yes | 55.83 | $0.087 | $20.46 | +$15.6 |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30? | Yes | 24.34 | $0.119 | $20.08 | +$17.17 |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | No | 26.41 | $0.534 | $19.81 | +$5.69 |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30? | Yes | 65.7 | $0.045 | $19.32 | +$16.35 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 65.22 | $0.385 | $18.26 | -$6.88 |
 Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | No | 41.06 | $0.462 | $13.34 | -$5.62 |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,176,000 and $1,198,000 on September 30? | Yes | 83.29 | $0.098 | $13.04 | +$4.86 |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $663,000 and $689,000 on September 30? | Yes | 37.6 | $0.067 | $12.88 | +$10.37 |
 Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 14.96 | $0.510 | $12.27 | +$4.64 |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30? | Yes | 31 | $0.140 | $11.32 | +$6.98 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on September 30, 2026? | Yes | 41.04 | $0.153 | $10.46 | +$4.19 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 565.06 | $0.025 | $10.45 | -$3.56 |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026? | Yes | 21.78 | $0.670 | $9.91 | -$4.68 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 105.95 | $0.220 | $9.01 | -$14.34 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on September 30, 2026? | Yes | 28.8 | $0.200 | $8.21 | +$2.46 |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 44.5 | $0.140 | $7.81 | +$1.58 |
 Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 60.57 | $0.163 | $7.57 | -$2.33 |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $536,000 and $542,000 on September 30? | Yes | 76.18 | $0.095 | $7.28 | +$0.07 |
| sell |
| 17.76 |
| $0.769 |
| $13.65 |
| 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 23.23 | $0.807 | $18.75 | 1d ago |
 Will White House post 200+ posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.82 | $0.909 | $6.2 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 13.73 | $0.787 | $10.8 | 2d ago |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes | sell | 132.97 | $0.270 | $35.9 | 5d ago |
| Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?No | sell | 2.02 | $0.380 | $0.77 | 5d ago |
 Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 579.33 | $0.001 | $0.58 | 6d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 3.91 | $0.490 | $1.92 | 6d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 14.64 | $0.330 | $4.83 | 8d ago |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.61 | $0.180 | $1.01 | 9d ago |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.61 | $0.180 | $1.01 | 9d ago |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.61 | $0.180 | $1.01 | 9d ago |
 What percent of U.S. cattle inventory area will be in drought? (week of September 1)Yes | buy | 45.17 | $0.460 | $20.78 | 11d ago |
 Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.970 | $4.22 | 11d ago |
| Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?No | buy | 17.99 | $0.940 | $16.91 | 11d ago |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be at least $1.50 on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 57.5 | $0.023 | $1.3 | 11d ago |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.51 | $0.143 | $2.65 | 11d ago |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.48 | $0.352 | $8.61 | 11d ago |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be at least $1.50 on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 63.75 | $0.016 | $1.02 | 11d ago |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.99 | $0.150 | $0.75 | 11d ago |
 Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.77 | $0.130 | $1.01 | 11d ago |
 Will Wisconsin have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?No | buy | 3.92 | $0.950 | $3.72 | 13d ago |
| Will North Dakota have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?No | buy | 3.84 | $0.970 | $3.72 | 13d ago |
 Will Z.ai's GLM-5.3-Flash model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 14.57 | $0.970 | $14.13 | 13d ago |
| Will Z.ai's GLM-5.3-Flash model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 28.46 | $0.970 | $27.6 | 13d ago |
 Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of August 24 2026?No | sell | 51.97 | $0.810 | $42.1 | 13d ago |
 Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.910 | $1.59 | 14d ago |
 Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.44 | $0.160 | $2.95 | 14d ago |
 Will "Wildchild" - Alex Warren first week album sales be between 70k and 90k?Yes | buy | 5.94 | $0.170 | $1.01 | 14d ago |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.50 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.75 | $0.580 | $4.5 | 14d ago |
| Will "Wildchild" - Alex Warren first week album sales be between 90k and 110k?Yes | buy | 11.8 | $0.100 | $1.18 | 14d ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 57.74 | $0.390 | $22.52 | 15d ago |
 Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | sell | 27.41 | $0.830 | $22.75 | 15d ago |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 Week of August 24 2026?No | buy | 3.63 | $0.520 | $1.89 | 16d ago |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 101.98 | $0.010 | $1.01 | 16d ago |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 112.22 | $0.009 | $1.01 | 16d ago |
| Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?No | buy | 41.06 | $0.462 | $18.96 | 16d ago |
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of August 24 2026?No | buy | 51.99 | $0.587 | $30.52 | 16d ago |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.82 | $0.110 | $1.52 | 16d ago |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.43 | $0.136 | $1.01 | 16d ago |
| Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.6 | $0.149 | $1.58 | 16d ago |
| Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.68 | $0.700 | $6.08 | 16d ago |
| Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 0.35 | $0.121 | $0.04 | 16d ago |
| Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.35 | $0.121 | $1.01 | 16d ago |
| Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.35 | $0.121 | $1.01 | 16d ago |
 Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 64.41 | $0.016 | $1.01 | 16d ago |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 110.63 | $0.009 | $1.01 | 17d ago |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 112.22 | $0.009 | $1.01 | 17d ago |
 Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.520 | $0.59 | 17d ago |