Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 32.86 | $0.930 | $30.56 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 39.22 |
| $0.510 |
| $20 |
| Mar 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove tariff on China before May?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will 'Nosferatu' win an Oscar?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will "The Substance" win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 2025 Oscars?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | buy | 71.64 | $0.028 | $2 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will the next Pope be from South America?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will Kylian Mbappe be the top Champions League scorer?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Feb 26, 2025 |
| Will Serhou Guirassy be the top Champions League scorer?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Feb 26, 2025 |
| Will Robert Lewandowski be the top Champions League scorer?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Zelensky resigns in 2025?Yes | buy | 9.68 | $0.310 | $3 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Elon out of Trump administration in 2025?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Elon out of Trump administration before July?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 10-year Treasury yield below 4% before April?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Trump's face on the $250 bill before July?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will Gold hit $3,000 before March?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump attend the Oscars?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?No | buy | 8.82 | $0.340 | $3 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 32.05 | $0.156 | $5 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 New Pope in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?No | buy | 92.78 | $0.054 | $5 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?Yes | buy | 42.73 | $0.600 | $25.64 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Javier Milei attend presidential inauguration?No | buy | 5 | $0.100 | $0.5 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Bill Clinton attend presidential inauguration?No | buy | 5 | $0.270 | $1.35 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Debt ceiling raised or suspended by inauguration?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.035 | $0.18 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "rig" or "rigged" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.120 | $1.8 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.967 | $19.34 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will someone else be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.024 | $0.6 | Dec 24, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.090 | $0.9 | Dec 24, 2024 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.006 | $0.06 | Dec 24, 2024 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 61.91 | $0.018 | $1.11 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.440 | $2.2 | Dec 24, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.070 | $0.7 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.726 | $3.63 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2024?Yes | buy | 66.05 | $0.757 | $50 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Nottingham Forest wins the Premier League?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.009 | $0.9 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.602 | $6.02 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Chelsea wins the Premier League?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.114 | $1.14 | Dec 24, 2024 |