Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 2.93K | $0.002 | $5.86 | May 4, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 2.65K |
| $0.004 |
| $10.59 |
| Apr 22, 2026 |
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 2.93K | $0.004 | $11.72 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 2.65K | $0.004 | $10.59 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.050 | $0.95 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.050 | $1.05 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 721.7 | $0.997 | $719.53 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 721.71 | $0.996 | $718.82 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Bill Clinton in jail by January 31?No | sell | 2.62 | $0.997 | $2.61 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $470 end of January?No | sell | 15.27 | $0.870 | $13.28 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $470 end of January?No | buy | 15.27 | $0.700 | $10.69 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Bill Clinton in jail by January 31?No | buy | 2.62 | $0.996 | $2.61 | Jan 21, 2026 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 9.16 | $0.965 | $8.84 | Dec 20, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 9.17 | $0.770 | $7.06 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.07 | $0.673 | $0.72 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 11.26 | $0.993 | $11.18 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 11.27 | $0.994 | $11.2 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.928 | $1 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in September 2025?No | sell | 20.01 | $0.970 | $19.41 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in September 2025?No | buy | 20.01 | $0.985 | $19.71 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Another Israel military action against Qatar by September 30?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.995 | $5.85 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Will Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | sell | 286.66 | $0.998 | $286.09 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | buy | 286.67 | $0.999 | $286.38 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 294.07 | $0.986 | $289.95 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 294.08 | $0.988 | $290.55 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Will Romania's court annul the presidential election?No | sell | 3.05 | $0.995 | $3.03 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| sell | 387 | $0.872 | $337.35 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| buy | 387 | $0.887 | $343.22 | Jul 1, 2025 |
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 24-30?Yes | buy | 3.79 | $0.992 | $3.76 | Jun 29, 2025 |
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 24-30?Yes | buy | 4.74 | $0.994 | $4.71 | Jun 29, 2025 |
Trump x Epstein files made public in June?No | buy | 7.71 | $0.996 | $7.68 | Jun 29, 2025 |
Will Sam Altman buy TikTok?No | buy | 4.83 | $0.998 | $4.82 | Jun 29, 2025 |
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 17-23?Yes | buy | 15.17 | $0.987 | $14.97 | Jun 23, 2025 |
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 3-9?Yes | buy | 5.77 | $0.990 | $5.71 | Jun 8, 2025 |
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 27-June 2?Yes | buy | 2.26 | $0.992 | $2.24 | Jun 2, 2025 |
House passes bill banning Chinese student visas before June?No | buy | 2.09 | $0.998 | $2.09 | May 29, 2025 |
Will the new Pope tweet from his personal account this month?No | buy | 4.56 | $0.998 | $4.55 | May 29, 2025 |
Trump renames Persian Gulf to "Arabian Gulf" in May?No | buy | 3.91 | $0.997 | $3.9 | May 29, 2025 |
Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June?No | buy | 3.89 | $0.979 | $3.81 | May 28, 2025 |
Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June?No | buy | 3.69 | $0.979 | $3.61 | May 27, 2025 |
Will Romania's court annul the presidential election?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.991 | $3.03 | May 27, 2025 |
Will Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.983 | $1.08 | May 27, 2025 |
Will Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?No | buy | 2.18 | $0.988 | $2.15 | May 26, 2025 |
Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.984 | $1.1 | May 23, 2025 |
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 13-19?Yes | buy | 2.07 | $0.994 | $2.06 | May 18, 2025 |
Bill allowing Trump 3rd term passes House before June?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.998 | $1.61 | May 18, 2025 |
Will Apple create a backdoor for user data in iCloud?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.984 | $1.08 | May 13, 2025 |
Will Apple create a backdoor for user data in iCloud?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.984 | $3.03 | May 13, 2025 |
Truth Social memecoin launch this week?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.992 | $5.09 | May 13, 2025 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday?No | buy | 3.29 | $0.999 | $3.29 | May 13, 2025 |