Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | May 24, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.01 |
| $0.988 |
| $1 |
| May 24, 2026 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.03 | $0.932 | $0.96 | May 24, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 3.15 | $0.934 | $2.94 | May 24, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.819 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 1.13 | $0.886 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 3.16 | $0.950 | $3 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Warriors vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.870 | $3 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.996 | $1.07 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Hamnet be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Hamnet be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.973 | $2 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Tether acquire Circle before September?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.23 | $0.710 | $3 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.945 | $2 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Yoon in jail before August?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $97,000 on May 9?No | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $310b and $320b on May 31?No | buy | 3.53 | $0.850 | $3 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.788 | $1 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in New Brunswick in the next Canadian Election?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be between 44-45°F on March 13?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Aliskerov vs. MunizMuniz | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 Will Newcastle United win the 2024 Carabao Cup?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Feb 3, 2025 |
| Dariush vs. MoicanoDariush | buy | 6 | $0.500 | $3 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Will it take Jerry between 1500-1999 strokes to hit a Hole in One?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.995 | $3 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Will it take Jerry 6-12 hours to hit a hole in one?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.997 | $3 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.954 | $1 | Dec 14, 2024 |
 Will 'Emilia Perez' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.944 | $1 | Dec 14, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?No | buy | 3.07 | $0.977 | $3 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 KSI's "Thick Of It" debuts on Billboard hot 100?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Oct 6, 2024 |
 Will Trump tweet 10-14 times October 4-11?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Oct 6, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris say "Abortion" 3 or more times on Call Her Daddy?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Oct 6, 2024 |
 Will Trump sell shares of DJT in September?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Sep 11, 2024 |
 Will Apple remain largest company through Sep 30?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Sep 11, 2024 |
 Mark Wiedman announced as next BlackRock CEO?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1 | Sep 11, 2024 |
 Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS by August 15?No | buy | 0.25 | $0.998 | $0.25 | Aug 7, 2024 |
 Bird flu pandemic in 2024?No | buy | 0.35 | $0.930 | $0.33 | Aug 7, 2024 |
 Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Aug 7, 2024 |
 COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Aug 7, 2024 |
 Donald & Melania Trump seen together in August?Yes | buy | 0.18 | $0.550 | $0.1 | Aug 7, 2024 |