Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.410 | $7.4 | -$0.8 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | 1m ago |
 |
| No |
| 17.29 |
| $0.470 |
| $6.83 |
| -$1.3 |
 Will Trump say "American Flag" during remarks at the Pentagon? | No | 20 | $0.560 | $6.3 | -$4.9 |
 Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 12+ times during the next PMQ? | Yes | 30 | $0.210 | $3 | -$3.3 |
 Will "IPO" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | No | 20 | $0.220 | $2.6 | -$1.8 |
 Will Club América finish the 2026-27 Liga MX season with the best combined goal differential? | Yes | 20 | $0.260 | $2.3 | -$2.9 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election by 15%-20%? | No | 2.21 | $0.810 | $1.93 | +$0.14 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 50%-55%? | Yes | 20 | $0.400 | $1.6 | -$6.4 |
 Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 7 2026? | Yes | 2.78 | $0.640 | $1.58 | -$0.19 |
 Will Sam Darnold have 29.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 20 | $0.190 | $1.5 | -$2.3 |
 Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $8B by September 30? | Yes | 2.88 | $0.500 | $1.45 | +$0.01 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-20 House election by 0%-10%? | Yes | 40 | $0.230 | $1.4 | -$7.8 |
 Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $186 in September? | No | 6.09 | $0.200 | $1.37 | +$0.15 |
 Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $11B by September 30? | Yes | 50 | $0.100 | $1.28 | -$3.73 |
 Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $38B by September 30? | Yes | 100 | $0.190 | $1.15 | -$17.85 |
 Will "Primetime" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | No | 4 | $0.140 | $0.92 | +$0.36 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 300,000 and 325,000? | Yes | 4 | $0.380 | $0.92 | -$0.6 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-21 House election? | No | 0.9 | $0.880 | $0.81 | +$0.01 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of September 7 2026? | Yes | 1.43 | $0.300 | $0.76 | +$0.34 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-16 House election by 40%-45%? | Yes | 2.8 | $0.200 | $0.73 | +$0.17 |
 Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 3.6 | $0.200 | $0.7 | -$0.02 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election by 20%-25%? | No | 0.75 | $0.800 | $0.61 | +$0.01 |
 Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? | Yes | 40 | $0.120 | $0.5 | -$4.3 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 35%-40%? | Yes | 3.34 | $0.150 | $0.45 | -$0.05 |
| Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6.5B by September 30? | Yes | 1.85 | $0.540 | $0.42 | -$0.58 |
| sell |
| 30 |
| $0.120 |
| $3.6 |
| 14m ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 15%-25%?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.110 | $4.4 | 26m ago |
 Will Paris FC be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | 31m ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-14 House election?Yes | sell | 5.22 | $0.120 | $0.63 | 59m ago |
 Will SB Energy IPO by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.260 | $5.2 | 59m ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-03 House election by 40%-45%?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.150 | $0.75 | 1h ago |
 Amazon 2026 capex above $210B?No | sell | 11.84 | $0.180 | $2.13 | 1h ago |
 Will Brentford be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?Yes | sell | 10.52 | $0.030 | $0.32 | 1h ago |
 Will Real Sociedad be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.022 | $0.33 | 1h ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?No | sell | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | 2h ago |
 Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.040 | $1.6 | 2h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?No | sell | 30 | $0.110 | $3.3 | 2h ago |
| Will Brentford be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?Yes | sell | 9.48 | $0.030 | $0.28 | 3h ago |
| Will Real Sociedad be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.010 | $0.05 | 3h ago |
 Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be less than 0.0%?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.240 | $4.8 | 3h ago |
 Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.190 | $3.8 | 3h ago |
 Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?No | sell | 21.69 | $0.130 | $2.82 | 3h ago |
 Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.190 | $3.8 | 3h ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-03 House election by 35%-40%?Yes | sell | 25.23 | $0.140 | $3.53 | 3h ago |
 Will Travis Kelce have 2.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No | sell | 5.66 | $0.100 | $0.57 | 3h ago |
 Meta's Watermelon released by November 30, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | 3h ago |
 Will Slingshot launch a token by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 57 | $0.150 | $8.55 | 3h ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 24 | $0.120 | $2.88 | 4h ago |
 Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.01 | $0.050 | $0.45 | 4h ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 26 | $0.120 | $3.12 | 4h ago |
 Will Brock Bowers have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.160 | $3.2 | 4h ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-06 House election by 30%-35%?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.040 | $0.52 | 4h ago |
| Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 10.99 | $0.060 | $0.66 | 4h ago |
 Will Branislav Baroš win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.410 | $8.2 | 5h ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 30% or more?No | sell | 20 | $0.270 | $5.4 | 5h ago |
 Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $200 in September?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.420 | $16.8 | 5h ago |
 Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | sell | 19.98 | $0.370 | $7.39 | 5h ago |
 Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.280 | $8.4 | 6h ago |
 Will Alexandre Curi win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.260 | $5.2 | 6h ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 25%-30%?Yes | sell | 5.4 | $0.210 | $1.13 | 6h ago |
 Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.140 | $2.8 | 7h ago |
 Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | 7h ago |
 Will Grecia Quiroz win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.170 | $3.4 | 7h ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes | sell | 17.3 | $0.070 | $1.21 | 8h ago |
 Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | 8h ago |
| Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.270 | $5.4 | 8h ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.120 | $4.8 | 8h ago |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $188 in September?No | sell | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | 8h ago |
 Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $110 in September?No | sell | 40 | $0.260 | $10.4 | 8h ago |
 Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.130 | $10.4 | 8h ago |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?No | sell | 9.24 | $0.430 | $3.97 | 9h ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?No | sell | 10.76 | $0.450 | $4.84 | 9h ago |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 in September?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.310 | $12.4 | 9h ago |
 Will "Fall 2: Deadpoint" score at least 54 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | sell | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | 9h ago |