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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 66.6 | $0.999 | $66.53 | 5d ago |
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| buy |
| 523.4 |
| $0.999 |
| $522.88 |
| Jul 8, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 522.9 | $0.850 | $444.47 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes | buy | 440.5 | $0.999 | $440.06 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 439.1 | $0.998 | $438.22 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 439.2 | $0.997 | $437.88 | May 30, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | buy | 437.92 | $0.999 | $437.48 | May 16, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 437.44 | $0.999 | $437 | May 9, 2026 |
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?Yes | buy | 437.04 | $0.998 | $436.17 | May 3, 2026 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?No | buy | 435.3 | $0.999 | $434.86 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" score at least 25 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 434.84 | $0.999 | $434.41 | Apr 19, 2026 |
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Nongshim Red Force | sell | 434.89 | $0.999 | $434.46 | Apr 15, 2026 |
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Nongshim Red Force | buy | 434.79 | $0.992 | $431.31 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 431.53 | $0.995 | $429.36 | Apr 12, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 429.36 | $0.997 | $428.07 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will Clavicular be Iran's next Supreme Leader by March 31st?No | buy | 428.07 | $0.999 | $427.64 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes | buy | 427.64 | $0.997 | $426.36 | Mar 14, 2026 |
US strikes Iraq by March 7?Yes | buy | 426.35 | $0.998 | $425.5 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?Yes | buy | 425.51 | $0.999 | $425.08 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 425.08 | $0.999 | $424.65 | Feb 27, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?No | buy | 424.66 | $0.986 | $418.71 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 21, 2026?No | buy | 418.71 | $0.999 | $418.29 | Feb 22, 2026 |
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 18, 2026?No | buy | 418.29 | $0.998 | $417.45 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?Yes | buy | 417.46 | $0.999 | $417.04 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 5, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 416.62 | $0.999 | $416.2 | Feb 6, 2026 |
US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 416.62 | $0.999 | $416.2 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?No | buy | 416.2 | $0.992 | $412.87 | Jan 14, 2026 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in November?No | buy | 412.87 | $0.998 | $412.04 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 412.04 | $0.997 | $410.89 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?Yes | buy | 410.89 | $0.999 | $410.48 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?No | buy | 410.47 | $0.998 | $409.65 | Dec 22, 2025 |
Bank of England rate cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 357.3 | $0.999 | $356.94 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will the California Proposition 50 referendum have the largest Democratic margin of victory?Yes | buy | 402.59 | $0.998 | $401.78 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?No | buy | 401.78 | $0.991 | $397.99 | Dec 5, 2025 |
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 27–30%?No | buy | 403.29 | $0.999 | $402.89 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will Paramount Group (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 402.88 | $0.999 | $402.48 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will CarMax (KMX) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?No | buy | 402.48 | $0.995 | $400.38 | Oct 16, 2025 |
Will Adelita Grijalva win AZ-07 by between 35% and 40%?Yes | buy | 400.38 | $0.994 | $397.88 | Sep 29, 2025 |
Will Accenture (ACN) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Yes | buy | 397.87 | $0.998 | $397.18 | Sep 26, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?No | buy | 397.18 | $0.999 | $396.78 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Democratic Margin of victory in VA-11 special election at least 45%?Yes | buy | 396.79 | $0.998 | $396 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Will Andrew Holness be the next Prime Minister of Jamaica after the election?Yes | buy | 395.99 | $0.999 | $395.59 | Sep 5, 2025 |
Will FAST win the most seats in the 2025 Samoa Legislative Assembly election?Yes | buy | 395.6 | $0.999 | $395.2 | Sep 1, 2025 |
FDA approves EYLEA HD?No | buy | 356.76 | $0.999 | $356.4 | Aug 23, 2025 |
FDA approves EYLEA HD?No | buy | 38.44 | $0.998 | $38.36 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Will Kai Cenat donate to MrBeast's Team Water by August 22?No | buy | 191 | $0.999 | $190.81 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Putin and Zelenskyy talk by August 22?No | buy | 200 | $0.999 | $199.8 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Will another person win the Bolivian election?Yes | buy | 394.38 | $0.999 | $393.99 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Will Quiroga and Rodríguez advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?No | buy | 87.32 | $0.998 | $87.15 | Aug 19, 2025 |
Will Quiroga and Rodríguez advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?No | buy | 139.99 | $0.994 | $139.11 | Aug 19, 2025 |