Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 70.68 | $0.832 | $62.55 | +$3.77 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | sell | 6.97 | $0.350 | $2.44 | 2m ago |
|
| Yes |
| 65.08 |
| $0.799 |
| $59.78 |
| +$7.8 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | No | 90.89 | $0.407 | $40.45 | +$3.42 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 72.04 | $0.412 | $32.78 | +$3.12 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 49.41 | $0.650 | $32.61 | +$0.47 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 23.52 | $0.850 | $21.05 | +$1.06 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? | No | 25.64 | $0.780 | $21.03 | +$1.03 |
 Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 20.58 | $0.905 | $18.42 | -$0.21 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 21.27 | $0.840 | $18.19 | +$0.32 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 24.93 | $0.590 | $16.33 | +$1.62 |
 Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | No | 11.48 | $0.930 | $11.17 | +$0.49 |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 9.11 | $0.900 | $8.15 | -$0.05 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | No | 8.67 | $0.820 | $7.15 | +$0.04 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 15.12 | $0.510 | $6.88 | -$0.83 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | No | 12.82 | $0.382 | $5.32 | +$0.42 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 6.66 | $0.760 | $5.29 | +$0.23 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | Yes | 61.06 | $0.130 | $5.19 | -$2.75 |
 Will Mauro Mendes win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election? | Yes | 6.41 | $0.630 | $4.39 | +$0.35 |
 Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung? | Yes | 15.15 | $0.416 | $4.17 | -$2.13 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | No | 6.97 | $0.528 | $3.87 | +$0.19 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | Yes | 13.26 | $0.530 | $3.71 | -$3.32 |
 Will Andrea Kaiser win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election? | No | 5 | $0.590 | $3.38 | +$0.43 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 38.54 | $0.252 | $3.28 | -$6.42 |
 Will Florian Dinger win the next Göttingen mayoral election? | Yes | 7.52 | $0.340 | $3.05 | +$0.49 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 5.67 | $0.550 | $2.98 | -$0.14 |
| sell |
| 4.87 |
| $0.915 |
| $4.46 |
| 5m ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 40.55 | $0.454 | $18.39 | 5m ago |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 6.97 | $0.360 | $2.51 | 6m ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.67 | $0.820 | $7.11 | 7m ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.33 | $0.917 | $5.8 | 8m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.460 | $20 | 9m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 6.19 | $0.430 | $2.66 | 40m ago |
 Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?Yes | sell | 3.74 | $0.540 | $2.02 | 42m ago |
 Will Cid Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.780 | $1.86 | 48m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 11.18 | $0.420 | $4.7 | 1h ago |
| Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?Yes | sell | 4.66 | $0.270 | $1.26 | 1h ago |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.32 | $0.790 | $1.83 | 1h ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.790 | $1.84 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 16.61 | $0.420 | $6.98 | 13h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 3.76 | $0.380 | $1.43 | 16h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 15.31 | $0.320 | $4.9 | 19h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 24.32 | $0.340 | $8.27 | 20h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.350 | $1.25 | 20h ago |
 Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?Yes | sell | 1.4 | $0.900 | $1.26 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 2.97 | $0.620 | $1.84 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 24.93 | $0.590 | $14.71 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 17.34 | $0.820 | $14.22 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No | sell | 41.18 | $0.412 | $16.98 | 22h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 7.85 | $0.390 | $3.06 | 23h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 13.67 | $0.323 | $4.41 | 23h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 4.97 | $0.370 | $1.84 | 23h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 4 | $0.460 | $1.84 | 23h ago |
 Will Frédéric Côté win the next La Prairie Quebec National Assembly election?No | buy | 1.65 | $0.750 | $1.24 | 1d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 23.68 | $0.912 | $21.6 | 1d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.87 | $0.912 | $4.44 | 1d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.36 | $0.914 | $3.07 | 1d ago |
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.58 | $0.900 | $0.52 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 23.21 | $0.660 | $15.32 | 1d ago |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.49 | $0.870 | $1.3 | 1d ago |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.19 | $0.870 | $1.91 | 1d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 7.9 | $0.450 | $3.56 | 1d ago |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | sell | 21.34 | $0.880 | $18.78 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 27.86 | $0.440 | $12.26 | 1d ago |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.43 | $0.870 | $2.11 | 1d ago |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.84 | $0.880 | $1.62 | 1d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | 1d ago |
 Will David West win the 2026 Richmond Hill mayoral election?Yes | sell | 1.36 | $0.973 | $1.32 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.57 | $0.230 | $3.81 | 2d ago |
 Will André Moura win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?Yes | buy | 6.93 | $0.150 | $1.04 | 3d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.25 | $0.830 | $4.36 | 3d ago |
| Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.490 | $1.69 | 3d ago |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | sell | 3.03 | $0.890 | $2.7 | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.56 | $0.270 | $4.47 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.33 | $0.182 | $4.43 | 4d ago |