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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series? | Yes | 619.59 | $0.813 | $495.67 | -$8.23 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 28.87 | $0.346 | $10 | 1h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 621.61 |
| $0.670 |
| $463.1 |
| +$46.7 |
 Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 449.39 | $0.788 | $431.64 | +$77.64 |
| Will “The Traitors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series? | Yes | 424.72 | $0.728 | $407.52 | +$98.52 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 402.6 | $0.770 | $285.84 | -$24.16 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 548.12 | $0.653 | $243.91 | -$114.19 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? | Yes | 270 | $0.750 | $209.25 | +$6.75 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 280 | $0.720 | $197.4 | -$4.2 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 281.52 | $0.767 | $178.76 | -$37.08 |
| Will Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series? | Yes | 209.36 | $0.501 | $159.74 | +$54.74 |
| Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series? | Yes | 216.36 | $0.693 | $154.7 | +$4.7 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 150 | $0.720 | $120.75 | +$12.75 |
 Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 129.99 | $0.770 | $110.5 | +$10.4 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 142.86 | $0.700 | $103.58 | +$3.57 |
| Will Jean Smart – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series? | Yes | 110.44 | $0.905 | $101.44 | +$1.44 |
 Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | Yes | 200 | $0.500 | $101 | +$1 |
 Will Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential election? | Yes | 135.6 | $0.630 | $96.28 | +$10.85 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 116.56 | $0.858 | $93.83 | -$6.17 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 151.52 | $0.660 | $79.55 | -$20.45 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 112.78 | $0.565 | $71.62 | +$7.93 |
 Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 83.52 | $0.718 | $70.57 | +$10.57 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 181.53 | $0.386 | $63.81 | -$6.19 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 232.51 | $0.430 | $62.78 | -$37.22 |
 Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | Yes | 251.36 | $0.835 | $61.58 | -$148.42 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | Yes | 95.39 | $0.675 | $61.53 | -$2.88 |
| sell |
| 887.24 |
| $0.880 |
| $780.77 |
| 4h ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | 16h ago |
 Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | 18h ago |
 Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?Yes | sell | 149.25 | $0.027 | $4.03 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?No | sell | 337.02 | $0.786 | $264.86 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?No | sell | 253.34 | $0.664 | $168.25 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?No | sell | 81.08 | $0.450 | $36.49 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | sell | 513.7 | $0.673 | $345.48 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?No | buy | 20 | $0.690 | $13.8 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.740 | $20 | 2d ago |
 Will Bodø/Glimt win Norway Eliteserien?No | sell | 32.24 | $0.120 | $3.87 | 2d ago |
 Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?No | sell | 434.21 | $0.773 | $335.61 | 2d ago |
 Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes | sell | 158.07 | $0.480 | $75.87 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?No | buy | 81.08 | $0.370 | $30 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)No | buy | 70.34 | $0.802 | $56.41 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.380 | $5.7 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.650 | $32.5 | 3d ago |
 Will Apyx launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.940 | $131.6 | 3d ago |
| Will Oscar Isaac – “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.715 | $143 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 240.96 | $0.830 | $200 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 838.93 | $0.850 | $713.09 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?No | sell | 64.28 | $0.450 | $28.93 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?No | sell | 35.71 | $0.450 | $16.07 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?No | sell | 35.71 | $0.214 | $7.64 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?No | sell | 160 | $0.850 | $136 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?No | sell | 100 | $0.450 | $45.02 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?No | sell | 110 | $0.410 | $45.1 | 3d ago |
 Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-05?Yes | buy | 42.25 | $0.710 | $30 | 3d ago |
 Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-09-05?Yes | buy | 87.68 | $0.855 | $75 | 4d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.741 | $103.73 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.740 | $7.4 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | sell | 294.3 | $0.670 | $197.18 | 4d ago |
| Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-09-05?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.800 | $25.6 | 4d ago |
| Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-09-05?Yes | buy | 43.57 | $0.689 | $30 | 4d ago |
| Will Union Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-09-05?Yes | buy | 32.76 | $0.458 | $15 | 4d ago |
 Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-05?Yes | buy | 42.37 | $0.590 | $25 | 4d ago |
| Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-09-05?Yes | buy | 49.02 | $0.510 | $25 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?No | buy | 60 | $0.550 | $33 | 4d ago |
 Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-09-05?Yes | buy | 44.78 | $0.670 | $30 | 4d ago |
 Ipswich Town FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes | sell | 47.61 | $0.332 | $15.81 | 4d ago |
 Will Viking FK win on 2026-09-04?Yes | sell | 20.4 | $0.210 | $4.28 | 4d ago |
 Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes | sell | 47.61 | $0.400 | $19.04 | 4d ago |
| Will Viking FK win on 2026-09-04?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 34.88 | $0.860 | $30 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?Yes | sell | 42.85 | $0.360 | $15.43 | 4d ago |
 Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-09-04?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.620 | $20 | 4d ago |