Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 334.75 | $0.893 | $312.99 | +$13.99 |
 Major CEX insolvent in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 485.43 | $0.061 | $29.61 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 769.46 |
| $0.130 |
| $28.47 |
| -$71.56 |
 Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? | No | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
| sell |
| 181.01 |
| $0.992 |
| $179.56 |
| Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 181.01 | $0.990 | $179.2 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?No | buy | 137.01 | $0.363 | $49.75 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 76.54 | $0.130 | $9.95 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 3?No | buy | 251.94 | $0.034 | $8.57 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 3?No | buy | 73.01 | $0.119 | $8.69 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 221.11 | $0.900 | $199 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No | sell | 66.67 | $0.740 | $49.34 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No | sell | 66.66 | $0.740 | $49.33 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.750 | $50 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.750 | $50 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 485.44 | $0.103 | $50 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?Yes | buy | 135.14 | $0.370 | $50 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 169.49 | $0.999 | $169.32 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 256.31 | $0.984 | $252.21 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 255 | $0.984 | $250.98 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 511.31 | $0.995 | $509 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 169.49 | $0.590 | $100 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?No | sell | 135.61 | $0.975 | $132.22 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?No | sell | 403 | $0.978 | $394.13 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Major CEX insolvent in 2026?Yes | sell | 769 | $0.110 | $84.59 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.028 | $1.78 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?No | buy | 538.62 | $0.984 | $530 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 86.2 | $0.620 | $53.44 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 30.77 | $0.650 | $20 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 30.77 | $0.650 | $20 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 86.21 | $0.580 | $50 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | sell | 92.59 | $0.590 | $54.63 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 52.63 | $0.957 | $50.37 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | sell | 0.29 | $0.170 | $0.05 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | sell | 78 | $0.170 | $13.26 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | sell | 78 | $0.176 | $13.71 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Major CEX insolvent in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.54K | $0.130 | $200 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?Yes | sell | 430.1 | $0.900 | $387.09 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 58.13 | $0.942 | $54.76 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 58.14 | $0.860 | $50 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.950 | $50 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-29?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.650 | $50 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-29?No | buy | 147.06 | $0.340 | $50 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?Yes | buy | 430.11 | $0.930 | $400 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | buy | 92.59 | $0.540 | $50 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | buy | 156.29 | $0.640 | $100 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 434.78 | $0.031 | $13.37 | Dec 25, 2025 |