Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 69.82 | $0.710 | $59.69 | +$10.12 |
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 14.57 |
| $0.680 |
| $12.11 |
| +$2.2 |
 Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | Yes | 121.19 | $0.164 | $10.6 | -$9.23 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 141.57 | $0.140 | $6.37 | -$13.45 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 86.22 | $0.230 | $4.74 | -$15.09 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 4.21 | $0.770 | $3.51 | +$0.27 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 150 | $0.033 | $2.93 | -$2.03 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | Yes | 3.82 | $0.280 | $1.28 | +$0.21 |
| sell |
| 1.16 |
| $0.999 |
| $1.16 |
| Jul 8, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | sell | 1.56 | $0.999 | $1.56 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 1.23 | $0.999 | $1.23 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 14.23 | $0.999 | $14.22 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 22.79 | $0.999 | $22.77 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 64.8 | $0.765 | $49.57 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14No | buy | 66.09 | $0.750 | $49.57 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 66.45 | $0.746 | $49.57 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 66.45 | $0.746 | $49.57 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.33 | $0.350 | $9.91 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 69.82 | $0.710 | $49.57 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 39.64 | $0.999 | $39.6 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?No | sell | 1.42 | $0.999 | $1.42 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.999 | $3.44 | May 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 39.65 | $0.750 | $29.74 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 25.73 | $0.999 | $25.7 | May 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 51.48 | $0.999 | $51.43 | May 15, 2026 |
| New pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 141.57 | $0.140 | $19.82 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | sell | 3.22 | $0.999 | $3.22 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 16.2 | $0.999 | $16.18 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 25.74 | $0.770 | $19.82 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No | sell | 30.02 | $0.997 | $29.93 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No | sell | 24.19 | $0.995 | $24.07 | May 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 51.49 | $0.770 | $39.65 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?No | sell | 55.07 | $0.960 | $52.89 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 47.77 | $0.995 | $47.53 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No | sell | 30.78 | $0.999 | $30.75 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No | buy | 30.03 | $0.330 | $9.91 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No | buy | 24.18 | $0.820 | $19.83 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 82.5 | $0.060 | $4.95 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?No | buy | 55.08 | $0.360 | $19.83 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Caleb Downs be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No | sell | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No | sell | 2.22 | $0.999 | $2.22 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.48K | $0.002 | $4.95 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No | sell | 39.33 | $0.753 | $29.61 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No | sell | 39.65 | $0.785 | $31.13 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 43.1 | $0.998 | $43.01 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 43.11 | $0.920 | $39.66 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No | buy | 39.34 | $0.504 | $19.83 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No | buy | 39.66 | $0.500 | $19.83 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No | buy | 30.79 | $0.805 | $24.78 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 47.78 | $0.830 | $39.66 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 99.15 | $0.200 | $19.83 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 96.5 | $0.206 | $19.83 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?Yes | sell | 26.86 | $0.999 | $26.83 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?Yes | buy | 26.58 | $0.730 | $19.4 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?Yes | sell | 1.63 | $0.999 | $1.63 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?No | buy | 29.6 | $0.670 | $19.83 | Apr 8, 2026 |