Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 80.99 | $0.994 | $79.65 | -$0.85 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 6.07 | $0.989 | $6 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 5.07 |
| $0.986 |
| $5 |
| Nov 27, 2025 |
 5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 US tariff revenue up in Q3 2025?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will ANO form a government after Czech election ?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.990 | $6 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.910 | $7 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?No | buy | 9.05 | $0.994 | $9 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?No | buy | 8.42 | $0.950 | $8 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 25.1K | $0.995 | $24.97K | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 25.1K | $0.996 | $25K | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 60°F or below on September 29?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 80.99 | $0.994 | $80.5 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 FDA approves UX111?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.997 | $8 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?No | sell | 13.82 | $0.966 | $13.35 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3500 on July 30?No | buy | 7.28 | $0.962 | $7 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be 88°F or below on July 30?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.999 | $6 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2300 on June 29 at 5PM ET?No | buy | 6.04 | $0.993 | $6 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Solana Up or Down on June 29?Up | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will Harvard University cave to Trump’s demands before June?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | May 31, 2025 |
 Another Israel military action on Yemen in May?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.996 | $6 | May 31, 2025 |
 Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.999 | $6 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Canada election called by midnight?Yes | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.940 | $4 | Mar 31, 2025 |
| Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?No | buy | 9.57 | $0.940 | $9 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?No | buy | 8.21 | $0.974 | $8 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue an executive order on February 9?No | buy | 9.07 | $0.992 | $9 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Will the first score of Super Bowl LIX be a safety?No | buy | 7.03 | $0.996 | $7 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Will 10-24 Republicans vote in favor of government funding bill?No | buy | 6.11 | $0.982 | $6 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Pudgy Penguin floor price above 25 eth on Friday?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.996 | $6 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $3,900 on December 20?No | buy | 6.13 | $0.979 | $6 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Trudeau resigns by Friday?No | buy | 6.07 | $0.989 | $6 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Runway closures due to Mystery Drones by Friday?No | buy | 8.09 | $0.989 | $8 | Dec 19, 2024 |
| Pudgy Penguin floor price above 25 eth on Friday?No | buy | 8.03 | $0.996 | $8 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Mystery drones shot down by Friday?No | buy | 6.04 | $0.994 | $6 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Russian Ruble ₽110 to $1 USD by December 20?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Will Manchester City lead the EPL in points at midway point?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.997 | $6 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?No | buy | 6.09 | $0.986 | $6 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Will Mircea Geoană win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | buy | 7.02 | $0.997 | $7 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?Yes | buy | 6.32 | $0.950 | $6 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.997 | $6 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. place second in any state?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.997 | $6 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?Yes | buy | 5.17 | $0.968 | $5 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will Jill Stein get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?Yes | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤10k votes?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.997 | $6 | Dec 16, 2024 |
| Will Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?No | sell | 12.12 | $0.993 | $12.03 | Dec 16, 2024 |
| Will RFK Jr. place second in any state?No | sell | 15.01 | $0.991 | $14.87 | Dec 16, 2024 |
| Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?Yes | buy | 6.01 | $0.999 | $6 | Dec 3, 2024 |