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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 13.19 | $0.910 | $12.76 | +$0.76 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 3.13 |
| $0.957 |
| $3 |
| Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 13.19 | $0.910 | $12 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?Yes | buy | 2.31 | $0.867 | $2 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.166 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the January meeting?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.982 | $2 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?No | sell | 2.27 | $0.997 | $2.26 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?No | buy | 7.16 | $0.998 | $7.15 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.939 | $2 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.901 | $2 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-09-24?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell by September 30?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.997 | $3 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 650 or more times August 15–August 22?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $340 in August?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.986 | $2 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200K in July?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.996 | $3 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.870 | $1.2 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will Apple acquire Perplexity before September?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 2.19 | $0.913 | $2 | May 25, 2025 |
 Trump tariffs Apple before July?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 1.63 | $0.920 | $1.5 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will NVDA purchase Bitcoin before July?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | May 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.990 | $2 | May 25, 2025 |
 Tom Cruise and Ana de Armas confirmed relationship by April?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever HappensYes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran in April?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Will Yoon Suk Yeol be elected the next president of South Korea?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.972 | $1.3 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Will Barbara Lee win the Oakland mayoral race?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 1.13 | $0.972 | $1.1 | Mar 8, 2025 |
 Will 'Rule Breakers' gross less than 3m on its opening weekend?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.959 | $1 | Mar 8, 2025 |
 DeepSeek banned in US before April?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Mar 8, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be banned again before May?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.560 | $1.1 | Feb 7, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Will the Progressive Conservatives win the most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.29 | $0.850 | $1.1 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Will ECB raise interest rates in January 2025?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Jan 13, 2025 |