Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.040 | $2.5 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 23.8 |
| $0.090 |
| $2.14 |
| Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.012 | $1.94 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?Yes | sell | 29.41 | $0.057 | $1.68 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | sell | 34.72 | $0.103 | $3.58 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 34.72 | $0.144 | $5 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.540 | $20.77 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.260 | $26 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Nov 8, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes | sell | 56.25 | $0.998 | $56.14 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Democratic sweep?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.180 | $3 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.070 | $3.18 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes | buy | 56.25 | $0.160 | $9 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 87.72 | $0.057 | $5 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 106.38 | $0.047 | $5 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?Yes | sell | 22.12 | $0.009 | $0.2 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Diddy by Friday?Yes | buy | 175 | $0.011 | $2 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Alanyaspor win on 2025-10-25?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will Antalyaspor win on 2025-10-26?Yes | buy | 13.42 | $0.373 | $5 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 24?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2025-10-19?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.028 | $5 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Yes | buy | 72.08 | $0.139 | $10 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?Yes | buy | 22.12 | $0.226 | $5 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.180 | $4 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Oct 18, 2025 |