Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 224.9 | $0.932 | $212.53 | +$2.99 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | 18h ago |
|
| No |
| 215.98 |
| $0.833 |
| $200.32 |
| +$20.35 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 160.76 | $0.929 | $150.31 | +$0.98 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 142.66 | $0.940 | $137.74 | +$3.67 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 145 | $0.833 | $123.98 | +$3.14 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 133.5 | $0.540 | $115.48 | +$43.44 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | No | 121 | $0.856 | $114.35 | +$10.77 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 125.01 | $0.830 | $106.88 | +$3.13 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 109 | $0.925 | $106.44 | +$5.59 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | No | 109 | $0.882 | $103.01 | +$6.86 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 118 | $0.807 | $100.89 | +$5.62 |
 Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | Yes | 115 | $0.870 | $98.33 | -$1.67 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? | No | 90 | $0.937 | $89.33 | +$4.97 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 92 | $0.932 | $85.84 | +$0.09 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 90 | $0.803 | $85.05 | +$12.77 |
 Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 89.28 | $0.857 | $83.92 | +$7.44 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 121.74 | $0.860 | $79.56 | -$25.19 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027? | No | 90 | $0.880 | $78.75 | -$0.45 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 159 | $0.445 | $78.71 | +$7.92 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 92.53 | $0.885 | $78.18 | -$3.72 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 137 | $0.435 | $76.04 | +$16.38 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 77 | $0.832 | $74.15 | +$10.12 |
 Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 82 | $0.863 | $72.57 | +$1.83 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 101 | $0.720 | $72.22 | -$0.5 |
 Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? | No | 71 | $0.943 | $69.08 | +$2.14 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.890 |
| $4.45 |
| 18h ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.200 | $1.4 | 21h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.890 | $10.68 | 1d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.806 | $8.06 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | 3d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?No | buy | 21 | $0.080 | $1.68 | 3d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No | buy | 6 | $0.940 | $5.64 | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.440 | $8.36 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.450 | $4.5 | 5d ago |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.144 | $6.05 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.632 | $3.16 | 7d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 4.21 | $0.890 | $3.75 | 9d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No | buy | 18 | $0.870 | $15.66 | 9d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.36 | $0.920 | $0.33 | 9d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No | buy | 89 | $0.840 | $74.76 | 9d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.160 | $1.92 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.810 | $4.05 | 9d ago |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 82 | $0.015 | $1.23 | 9d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.740 | $0.01 | 10d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | sell | 4.88 | $0.740 | $3.61 | 10d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 1.56 | $0.979 | $1.53 | 10d ago |
 Russia coup attempt in 2026?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.940 | $0.03 | 10d ago |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026?No | sell | 2.97 | $0.940 | $2.79 | 10d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.810 | $4.05 | 10d ago |
 Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.070 | $0.7 | 10d ago |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.370 | $5.18 | 11d ago |
 Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?No | sell | 32.96 | $0.012 | $0.38 | 12d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.06 | $0.040 | $0 | 12d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.94 | $0.040 | $0.04 | 12d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.040 | $1.24 | 12d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.040 | $2 | 12d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.040 | $2 | 12d ago |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.470 | $2.82 | 12d ago |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 20.99 | $0.090 | $1.89 | 12d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.490 | $0 | 12d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.98 | $0.500 | $0.49 | 12d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 129 | $0.008 | $1.03 | 12d ago |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.560 | $3.92 | 13d ago |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.960 | $0.97 | 13d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.11 | $0.540 | $0.06 | 14d ago |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.710 | $5.68 | 14d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.230 | $2.76 | 14d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.100 | $1.9 | 15d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | sell | 4.7 | $0.260 | $1.22 | 15d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 25?No | sell | 46 | $0.020 | $0.92 | 15d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 25?No | sell | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | 15d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 25?No | sell | 30.53 | $0.050 | $1.53 | 15d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 25?No | sell | 19.62 | $0.050 | $0.98 | 15d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 25?No | sell | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | 15d ago |