Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 106.95 | $0.849 | $100 | +$9.22 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | sell | 6.57 | $0.790 | $5.19 | 14d ago |
|
| No |
| 5.62 |
| $0.890 |
| $5.25 |
| +$0.25 |
 Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | No | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5.03 | +$0.03 |
 Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.88 | $0.850 | $3.62 | -$1.38 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 3.23 | $0.930 | $3.05 | +$0.05 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.13 | $0.800 | $2.42 | -$0.08 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | No | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2.29 | +$0.29 |
 Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31? | No | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2.04 | +$0.04 |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | -$0 |
 Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | No | 2.17 | $0.921 | $1.98 | -$0.02 |
| sell |
| 106.95 |
| $0.930 |
| $99.46 |
| 14d ago |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.921 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 13.65 | $0.930 | $12.69 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.930 | $3 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 19.78 | $0.930 | $18.4 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027?No | sell | 5.5 | $0.930 | $5.12 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.800 | $2.5 | May 9, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.820 | $2 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 5.83 | $0.780 | $4.55 | May 9, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 5.51 | $0.930 | $5.12 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | sell | 5.14 | $0.997 | $5.12 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 5.84 | $0.850 | $4.96 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 5.14 | $0.972 | $5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 12 | $0.830 | $9.96 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 25.18 | $0.830 | $20.9 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No | sell | 20.94 | $0.998 | $20.9 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No | buy | 20.94 | $0.996 | $20.86 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in March 2026?No | buy | 10.8 | $0.999 | $10.79 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?No | buy | 20.79 | $0.999 | $20.77 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.970 | $2.62 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No | buy | 8.05 | $0.994 | $8 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | sell | 20.86 | $0.971 | $20.26 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 100 | $0.910 | $91 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 20.87 | $0.967 | $20.18 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETUp | sell | 4.92 | $0.040 | $0.2 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 126.15 | $0.860 | $108.49 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.940 | $94 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETUp | buy | 4.86 | $0.400 | $1.94 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - January 18, 10PM ETUp | buy | 6 | $0.690 | $4.14 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 10PM ETUp | buy | 7 | $0.640 | $4.48 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10PM ETUp | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Jan 19, 2026 |