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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 189.87 | $0.790 | $166.14 | +$16.14 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 120.48 | $0.830 | $100 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 277.78 |
| $0.540 |
| $145.83 |
| -$4.17 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 223.88 | $0.670 | $108.58 | -$41.42 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 181.82 | $0.550 | $50 | -$50 |
| sell |
| 108.93 |
| $0.914 |
| $99.56 |
| Apr 1, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 85.57 | $0.818 | $70 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 108.93 | $0.918 | $100 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | sell | 88.23 | $0.370 | $32.65 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 370.37 | $0.810 | $300 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | sell | 439.12 | $0.996 | $437.48 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 129.83 | $0.855 | $111 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 121.32 | $0.910 | $110.4 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 111.58 | $0.950 | $106 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 88.24 | $0.340 | $30 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?No | sell | 138.89 | $0.985 | $136.81 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 74.71 | $0.870 | $65 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 121.95 | $0.820 | $100 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?No | sell | 167.44 | $0.986 | $165.1 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?No | buy | 4.65 | $0.860 | $4 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?No | buy | 162.79 | $0.860 | $140 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 69.77 | $0.430 | $30 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 46.51 | $0.430 | $20 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.031 | $1.82 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.019 | $2 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.019 | $2 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 519.23 | $0.039 | $20 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?No | sell | 46.29 | $0.830 | $38.42 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.800 | $50 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | sell | 164.69 | $0.300 | $49.41 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.850 | $50 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 91.67 | $0.240 | $22 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 87.06 | $0.574 | $50 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.550 | $50 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?No | buy | 61.73 | $0.810 | $50 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 74.63 | $0.670 | $50 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 63.29 | $0.790 | $50 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 172.95 | $0.578 | $100 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.550 | $50 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.390 | $50 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.540 | $150 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.220 | $20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 260 | $0.385 | $100 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.09 | $0.555 | $50 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?No | buy | 123.46 | $0.810 | $100 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.400 | $100 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 476.19 | $0.210 | $100 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 126.58 | $0.790 | $100 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 149.25 | $0.670 | $100 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jannik SinnerAuger-Aliassime | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.040 | $2.69 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?Yes | buy | 75.81 | $0.620 | $47 | Sep 5, 2025 |