Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 8.19 | $0.610 | $5 | Mar 3, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 2.72 |
| $0.907 |
| $2.47 |
| Mar 1, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.72 | $0.880 | $3.27 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.858 | $2.32 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?No | buy | 3.38 | $0.960 | $3.24 | Feb 23, 2026 |
Weed rescheduled by March 31?No | buy | 3.53 | $0.951 | $3.36 | Feb 23, 2026 |
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 3.52 | $0.960 | $3.38 | Feb 23, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 3.67 | $0.920 | $3.38 | Feb 23, 2026 |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?No | buy | 3.73 | $0.900 | $3.36 | Feb 22, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or higher on February 22?Yes | sell | 42.18 | $0.032 | $1.35 | Feb 21, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.99 | $0.380 | $2.28 | Feb 21, 2026 |
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | sell | 3.41 | $0.965 | $3.29 | Feb 21, 2026 |
Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?No | sell | 6.67 | $0.940 | $6.27 | Feb 21, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?No | sell | 6.39 | $0.940 | $6.01 | Feb 21, 2026 |
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?No | sell | 14.17 | $0.825 | $11.69 | Feb 21, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C or higher on February 21?Yes | sell | 63.87 | $0.040 | $2.55 | Feb 21, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or higher on February 22?Yes | buy | 51.21 | $0.040 | $2.03 | Feb 21, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or below on February 22?Yes | buy | 99.33 | $0.060 | $5.96 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C or higher on February 21?Yes | buy | 31.66 | $0.050 | $1.58 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or below on February 21?Yes | buy | 240.96 | $0.028 | $6.81 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?No | sell | 8.6 | $0.840 | $7.22 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?No | buy | 8.6 | $0.870 | $7.48 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?No | sell | 7.55 | $0.830 | $6.27 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on February 20?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.999 | $24.98 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?No | buy | 7.55 | $0.860 | $6.49 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or higher on February 20?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.080 | $0.48 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on February 20?Yes | buy | 0.41 | $0.240 | $0.1 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 79°F or below on February 20?Yes | buy | 49.33 | $0.134 | $6.61 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or below on February 21?Yes | buy | 64.26 | $0.060 | $3.86 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 79°F or below on February 20?Yes | sell | 23.71 | $0.080 | $1.9 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on February 20?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.090 | $1.62 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or higher on February 21?Yes | sell | 34.63 | $0.130 | $4.5 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or higher on February 20?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.070 | $3.5 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?No | sell | 7.55 | $0.840 | $6.34 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 6.53 | $0.925 | $6.04 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will Wesley Hunt come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | sell | 13.42 | $0.913 | $12.26 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?Yes | sell | 6.91 | $0.948 | $6.55 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 79°F or below on February 20?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.090 | $2.7 | Feb 19, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or higher on February 21?Yes | buy | 24.63 | $0.110 | $2.71 | Feb 19, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or higher on February 20?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.078 | $7.83 | Feb 19, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.880 | $6.28 | Feb 19, 2026 |
Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?No | buy | 7.55 | $0.860 | $6.49 | Feb 19, 2026 |
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.91 | $0.930 | $6.43 | Feb 19, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.890 | $6.35 | Feb 19, 2026 |
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?No | sell | 6.29 | $0.956 | $6.01 | Feb 19, 2026 |
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.926 | $9.26 | Feb 19, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | sell | 2.38 | $0.890 | $2.12 | Feb 19, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.890 | $8.9 | Feb 19, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.890 | $0.89 | Feb 19, 2026 |
Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?No | sell | 7.1 | $0.840 | $5.96 | Feb 19, 2026 |