Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 1.71K | $0.066 | $113.11 | May 22, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 5K |
| $0.017 |
| $83.37 |
| May 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 776.31 | $0.066 | $51.24 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes | sell | 2.91K | $0.016 | $45.45 | May 22, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.080 | $16 | May 22, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 277.77 | $0.070 | $19.44 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.19K | $0.108 | $128.18 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 638.3 | $0.047 | $30 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 135.14 | $0.370 | $50 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 281.74 | $0.348 | $98.18 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 326.64 | $0.460 | $150.25 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 104.16 | $0.240 | $25 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | sell | 1.72K | $0.164 | $282 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Yes | sell | 175.34 | $0.370 | $64.88 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Yes | sell | 260.82 | $0.264 | $68.87 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by March 31?Yes | buy | 126.17 | $0.120 | $15.14 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 108.1 | $0.140 | $15.13 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.66K | $0.080 | $133.16 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 317.46 | $0.063 | $20 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 56.82 | $0.440 | $25 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.240 | $25 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Yes | buy | 175.34 | $0.285 | $50 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.64K | $0.063 | $228.56 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.180 | $50 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.080 | $100 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 723.17 | $0.139 | $100.52 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?Yes | buy | 630.56 | $0.048 | $30 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?Yes | buy | 335.34 | $0.089 | $30 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?Yes | buy | 174.14 | $0.172 | $30 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 192.31 | $0.130 | $25 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 403.23 | $0.062 | $25 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.022 | $25 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.440 | $100 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.360 | $50 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 720.04 | $0.139 | $100 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 526.32 | $0.190 | $100 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 130 | $0.190 | $24.7 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 210.95 | $0.181 | $38.08 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.160 | $40 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 42.55 | $0.470 | $20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?Yes | buy | 615.91 | $0.110 | $67.75 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Yes | buy | 260.82 | $0.192 | $50 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.160 | $20.8 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?Yes | buy | 272.73 | $0.110 | $30 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 787.6 | $0.038 | $30 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 272.11 | $0.147 | $40 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 335.71 | $0.140 | $47 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.350 | $50 | Jan 7, 2026 |