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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?Yes | buy | 21.62 | $0.370 | $8 | 29d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 25 |
| $0.480 |
| $12 |
| 29d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | 29d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | sell | 51.28 | $0.380 | $19.49 | 29d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | buy | 51.28 | $0.390 | $20 | 29d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 40.98 | $0.244 | $10 | 29d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 73.21 | $0.034 | $2.5 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | 29d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 107.14 | $0.036 | $3.86 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 2.34 | $0.903 | $2.11 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 48.18 | $0.934 | $45 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.066 | $1.66 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.008 | $8 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 15 | $0.250 | $3.75 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.250 | $2.5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.199 | $4.97 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.520 | $13 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.400 | $8 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.140 | $15 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.015 | $15 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | sell | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.900 | $17.1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | sell | 40.64 | $0.630 | $25.6 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 10 | $0.350 | $3.5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.650 | $16.25 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 29, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.86 | $0.330 | $3.58 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.178 | $4.45 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.52 | $0.540 | $5.68 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 20, 2026?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.190 | $5.94 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.180 | $6.43 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.12 | $0.420 | $6.77 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.160 | $8.89 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.56 | $0.302 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 249.98 | $0.090 | $22.5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.490 | $5.88 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 62m?Yes | buy | 55.83 | $0.033 | $1.84 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.380 | $4 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.230 | $2.5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |