Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 2K | $0.920 | $1.84K | Jun 11, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.710 |
| $3.55 |
| Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 43.27 | $0.670 | $28.99 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 18.65 | $0.777 | $14.49 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 29.19 | $0.771 | $22.51 | May 29, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | sell | 703.13 | $0.991 | $696.8 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 80 | $0.628 | $50.24 | May 26, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | sell | 54.55 | $0.730 | $39.82 | May 25, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.563 | $112.6 | May 25, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 499.99 | $0.549 | $274.49 | May 25, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 15 | $0.548 | $8.22 | May 25, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | sell | 123 | $0.600 | $73.8 | May 15, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.880 | $880 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.710 | $28.4 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | sell | 286 | $0.710 | $203.06 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 2K | $0.860 | $1.72K | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.860 | $860 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 1K | $0.610 | $610 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | sell | 1.84K | $0.959 | $1.76K | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 5K | $0.820 | $4.1K | Apr 14, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 102 | $0.460 | $46.92 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes | sell | 1.06K | $0.137 | $145.26 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes | sell | 45.99 | $0.139 | $6.37 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes | buy | 184 | $0.225 | $41.4 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes | buy | 109.3 | $0.218 | $23.83 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 102 | $0.420 | $42.84 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.580 | $6.38 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | buy | 49 | $0.580 | $28.42 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | buy | 467 | $0.580 | $270.86 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.570 | $8.55 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.570 | $17.1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.870 | $870 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 855 | $0.870 | $743.85 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?No | buy | 849 | $0.860 | $730.14 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 177.25 | $0.620 | $109.9 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?Yes | sell | 530 | $0.400 | $212 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 500 | $0.590 | $295 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 500 | $0.590 | $295 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 177.24 | $0.550 | $97.48 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 185.64 | $0.550 | $102.1 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | sell | 177 | $0.430 | $76.11 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 30 | $0.570 | $17.1 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | sell | 60 | $0.600 | $36 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | sell | 249.24 | $0.650 | $162.01 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | sell | 177 | $0.510 | $90.27 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 60 | $0.620 | $37.2 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 152 | $0.600 | $91.2 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 13 | $0.590 | $7.67 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 47.99 | $0.580 | $27.83 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | sell | 249.24 | $0.690 | $171.98 | Mar 23, 2026 |