Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 12.81 | $0.999 | $12.81 | +$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 12.81 | $0.999 | $12.8 | 3d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 12.74 |
| $0.997 |
| $12.7 |
| 17d ago |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?No | buy | 12.71 | $0.999 | $12.7 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?No | buy | 181.18 | $0.999 | $181 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 28?No | buy | 175.18 | $0.999 | $175 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.998 | $1.3 | May 26, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.906 | $1.1 | May 26, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.870 | $1.2 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.897 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in May 2026?No | buy | 175.18 | $0.999 | $175 | May 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 180.18 | $0.999 | $180 | May 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?No | buy | 180.54 | $0.997 | $180 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 2?Yes | buy | 179.18 | $0.999 | $179 | May 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?No | buy | 42.21 | $0.995 | $42 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 25?No | buy | 214.14 | $0.004 | $0.86 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 24?No | buy | 137.12 | $0.999 | $136.98 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No | buy | 181.16 | $0.999 | $180.98 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 15?No | buy | 181.15 | $0.999 | $180.97 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No | buy | 177.54 | $0.999 | $177.36 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No | buy | 177.32 | $0.998 | $176.96 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.38 | $0.360 | $1.22 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.340 | $1.21 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | buy | 177.91 | $0.999 | $177.73 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 175.73 | $0.999 | $175.55 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 1.73 | $0.983 | $1.7 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No | buy | 175.35 | $0.998 | $175 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.999 | $1.5 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No | buy | 175.18 | $0.999 | $175 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 10?No | buy | 175.79 | $0.999 | $175.61 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?No | sell | 105.1 | $0.999 | $104.99 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?No | buy | 70.61 | $0.986 | $69.62 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?No | buy | 105.11 | $0.999 | $105 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 1?No | buy | 174.62 | $0.999 | $174.45 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 26?No | buy | 174.44 | $0.999 | $174.27 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 25?No | buy | 174.27 | $0.999 | $174.1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 21?No | buy | 174.1 | $0.999 | $173.93 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 14?Yes | buy | 173.92 | $0.999 | $173.75 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 6?Yes | buy | 173.17 | $0.999 | $173 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 23?No | buy | 163.91 | $0.999 | $163.75 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 18?Yes | buy | 163.75 | $0.999 | $163.59 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 15?No | buy | 160.16 | $0.999 | $160 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?No | buy | 157.79 | $0.999 | $157.63 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 5?Yes | buy | 150.6 | $0.996 | $150 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.980 | $1.23 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.966 | $1.45 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.24 | $0.965 | $1.2 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.992 | $1.45 | Dec 5, 2025 |