Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?No | sell | 1.57 | $0.950 | $1.49 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.6 |
| $0.930 |
| $1.49 |
| Aug 18, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 4.43 | $0.910 | $4.03 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 2.71 | $0.850 | $2.3 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Circle IPO in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.710 | $1.06 | Feb 11, 2025 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 1.73 | $0.850 | $1.47 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.910 | $1.63 | Feb 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump cut taxes on high earners in 2025?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.760 | $1.22 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 iPhone SE 4 under $500?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 DeepSeek removed from App Store before March?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.952 | $1.45 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Starmer inquiry into grooming gangs before February?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Nigel Farage out as Leader of Reform before March?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.940 | $1.27 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Skip Bayless arrested before April?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.940 | $1.32 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Will Mike Vrabel be the head coach of the Patriots in the 2025-26 NFL season?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.900 | $1.29 | Jan 7, 2025 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?No | buy | 1.58 | $0.800 | $1.26 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.954 | $1.05 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 1.29 | $0.960 | $1.24 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.930 | $1.39 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Packers vs. SeahawksPackers | buy | 1.4 | $0.900 | $1.26 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will Harris win Virginia by 6+ points?No | buy | 0.52 | $0.917 | $0.48 | Nov 27, 2024 |
 Will Harris win Colorado by 8+ points?Yes | buy | 0.59 | $0.999 | $0.59 | Nov 27, 2024 |
 IA-01 election: Bohannan (D) vs. Miller-Meeks (R)Miller-Meeks | buy | 0.65 | $0.990 | $0.64 | Nov 27, 2024 |
 Will Trump do better in Ohio or Texas?Texas | buy | 0.91 | $0.999 | $0.91 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Trump win Wyoming by the largest margin?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.999 | $1.12 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.988 | $1.06 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 0.26 | $0.910 | $0.24 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $60,000 on October 1?Yes | buy | 0.43 | $0.770 | $0.33 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 Will Mark Robinson drop out in September?No | buy | 0.17 | $0.950 | $0.16 | Sep 21, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 0.3 | $0.900 | $0.27 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 Will Bo Nix start Week 1 for the Broncos?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.982 | $1.1 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Will Drake Maye start Week 1 for the Patriots?No | buy | 0.72 | $0.844 | $0.61 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?Yes | buy | 0.77 | $0.820 | $0.63 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.44 | $0.410 | $0.18 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 TikTok banned in the US in 2024?Yes | buy | 2.25 | $0.080 | $0.18 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Stacey Abrams be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?Yes | buy | 8.9K | $0.001 | $8.9 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Andy Beshear be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?Yes | buy | 15.25K | $0.001 | $15.25 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will 'Trap' gross more than $20m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.001 | $0.13 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Musk x Maduro fight scheduled by Aug 9?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.012 | $0.05 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will 'Deadpool & Wolverine' gross less than $84m 2nd weekend?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.001 | $0.05 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Nasrallah remains leader of Hezbollah through August?Yes | sell | 1.06 | $0.910 | $0.96 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Kamala announce VP pick before DNC?Yes | sell | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.955 | $1.01 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Democratic VP nominee be a white man?Yes | sell | 1.04 | $0.973 | $1.01 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Kamala announce VP pick by Aug 7?Yes | sell | 0.13 | $0.983 | $0.13 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | sell | 1.28 | $0.800 | $1.02 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Trump vs. Biden: Staircase OlympicsTrump | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 |
| Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 |
| Nasrallah remains leader of Hezbollah through August?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 |
 Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader before September?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 |
| Will Democratic VP nominee be a white man?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 |