Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Yes | sell | 57.14 | $0.130 | $7.43 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 42.08 |
| $0.475 |
| $20 |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 NFL Sunday Week 9: Will an underdog win?Yes | buy | 41.56 | $0.602 | $25 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 13.73 | $0.865 | $11.88 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.350 | $20 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?No | buy | 32.29 | $0.310 | $10 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will a cat 5 hurricane make US landfall during Hurricane Season 2025?No | sell | 60.97 | $0.973 | $59.32 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?Yes | sell | 13.26 | $0.824 | $10.93 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?No | buy | 28.85 | $0.520 | $15 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Democratic sweep?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?Yes | buy | 13.26 | $0.377 | $5 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster EditionYes | buy | 67.69 | $0.739 | $50 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 French election called by December 31?No | buy | 35.09 | $0.570 | $20 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| French election called by October 31?No | buy | 69.44 | $0.720 | $50 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?Yes | sell | 37.03 | $0.810 | $29.99 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 1,350+ Measles cases in U.S. before August?No | buy | 36.07 | $0.693 | $25 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 First round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo's first round margin of victory be between 10% and 15%?Yes | buy | 35.93 | $0.139 | $5 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with the European Union before July?No | sell | 22.22 | $0.920 | $20.44 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Japan before July?No | sell | 27.36 | $0.550 | $15.05 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Israel before July?No | sell | 20.83 | $0.860 | $17.91 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2025?No | sell | 16.3 | $0.965 | $15.73 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| First round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.600 | $30 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Will a cat 5 hurricane make US landfall during Hurricane Season 2025?No | buy | 60.98 | $0.820 | $50 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?Yes | buy | 26.92 | $0.260 | $7 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JuneYes | buy | 29.82 | $0.503 | $15 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | sell | 7.24 | $0.973 | $7.04 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| 1,200+ Measles cases in U.S. before June?No | sell | 29.65 | $0.971 | $28.78 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?No | sell | 17.24 | $0.920 | $15.86 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?No | buy | 54.55 | $0.055 | $3 | May 6, 2025 |
 Italian solidary responsibility of the client, contractor, and subcontractor for injuries referendumYes | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | May 4, 2025 |
 Italian imposition of term limits on employment contracts referendumYes | buy | 37.5 | $0.080 | $3 | May 4, 2025 |
 Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendumYes | buy | 57.69 | $0.052 | $3 | May 4, 2025 |
 Italian Employment with increasing protection ReferendumYes | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | May 4, 2025 |
 Italian Citizenship Residency Requirement ReferendumYes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | May 4, 2025 |
 Will the next pop be elected in 4 days?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | sell | 10.75 | $0.900 | $9.68 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will India invade Pakistan before July?No | sell | 5.88 | $0.740 | $4.35 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?No | sell | 19.23 | $0.180 | $3.46 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?Yes | sell | 18.51 | $0.070 | $1.3 | Apr 27, 2025 |
| 1,200+ Measles cases in U.S. before June?No | buy | 29.66 | $0.270 | $8 | Apr 25, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Will the Liberal Party win by 25–49 seats?Yes | sell | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump try and fire Powell before June?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Apr 25, 2025 |