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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 951.49 | $0.121 | $64.23 | -$50.77 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 50 |
| $0.210 |
| $3.25 |
| -$7.25 |
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 34.48 | $0.230 | $2.78 | -$5.15 |
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | 6.28 | $0.149 | $0.9 | -$0.04 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.7 | $0.270 | $0.53 | -$0.47 |
| buy |
| 11.63 |
| $0.086 |
| $1 |
| May 29, 2026 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 100.03 | $0.031 | $3.1 | May 20, 2026 |
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?No | sell | 1 | $0.961 | $0.96 | May 20, 2026 |
Tucker Carlson arrested by May 31?No | sell | 1 | $0.989 | $0.99 | May 20, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 176.47 | $0.160 | $28.24 | May 18, 2026 |
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Yes | sell | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | May 18, 2026 |
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | May 14, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 176.47 | $0.170 | $30 | May 9, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?Yes | buy | 14.28 | $0.140 | $2 | May 8, 2026 |
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?Yes | buy | 6.11 | $0.180 | $1.1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Tucker Carlson arrested by May 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.920 | $9.2 | Apr 9, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 178.57 | $0.540 | $96.43 | Mar 24, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 560 | $0.197 | $110.27 | Mar 24, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.250 | $40 | Mar 21, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.560 | $100 | Mar 21, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.250 | $100 | Mar 21, 2026 |
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 10.12 | $0.999 | $10.11 | Mar 19, 2026 |
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.12 | $0.988 | $10 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | sell | 14.72 | $0.949 | $13.97 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 19?Yes | buy | 10.52 | $0.461 | $4.85 | Mar 13, 2026 |
Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 46.51 | $0.043 | $2 | Mar 13, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 20.4 | $0.048 | $0.98 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 20.4 | $0.049 | $1 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 5.25 | $0.951 | $4.99 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Feb 6, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?Yes | buy | 111 | $0.010 | $1.11 | Feb 6, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Feb 6, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 88.24 | $0.340 | $30 | Feb 4, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 251.5 | $0.199 | $50 | Jan 25, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Jan 23, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 85.11 | $0.470 | $40 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.210 | $10.5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 100.04 | $0.248 | $24.85 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 32.25 | $0.320 | $10.32 | Nov 20, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Nov 20, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Nov 10, 2025 |
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)Anyones Legend | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Oct 31, 2025 |
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)Anyones Legend | sell | 37.03 | $0.630 | $23.33 | Oct 31, 2025 |
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)Anyones Legend | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Oct 31, 2025 |